# Russia Does Not Expect Ukraine Crisis to Have Big Impact on Grain Exports - Business Insider

> Russia's agriculture ministry said Russia-Ukraine tensions in the Azov Sea should not significantly affect Russian grain exports. It noted that Azov shipments fall in the autumn and winter low season. The ministry expects no serious change to grain exports from the current standoff.

- Date: 2018-11-29 · published 2018-11-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Black Sea · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61917-russia-does-not-expect-ukraine-crisis-to-have-big-impact-on-grain-exports
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Official Russian reassurance removes some risk premium from Black Sea wheat, so the effect on prices is neutral to slightly bearish. Export volumes are not expected to change in this season.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-11-30 | [Grain exports not impacted by Russia, Ukraine tension \| 2018-11-30  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61921-grain-exports-not-impacted-by-russia-ukraine-tension-2018-11-30-world-grain.md) | +2.7% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-06-22 | [How Russia Exports Ukrainian Grain As Its Own: An Investigation](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14290-how-russia-exports-ukrainian-grain-as-its-own-an-investigation.md) | -6.8% | -2.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-26 | [Ukraine , US , Russia expected to hold trilateral talks in November , says Zelensky](https://feedsoft.ai/events/953-ukraine-us-russia-expected-to-hold-trilateral-talks-in-november-says-zelensky.md) | -0.4% | — |
| WHEAT | 2022-01-28 | [Grain trade yet to feel impact of Russia-Ukraine tensions, but uncertainty prevails 28.01.2022 - UkrAgroConsult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14514-grain-trade-yet-to-feel-impact-of-russia-ukraine-tensions-but-uncertainty.md) | -1.8% | +2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-04-03 | [Ceasefire or stalemate? Grain exports at risk in Black Sea deal - Food & Agribusiness](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14216-ceasefire-or-stalemate-grain-exports-at-risk-in-black-sea-deal-food-and.md) | -0.6% | +2.0% |

## Sources

- businessinsider.com: https://www.businessinsider.com/r-russia-does-not-expect-ukraine-crisis-to-have-big-impact-on-grain-exports-2018-11

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.