# Trump’s trade war sees US soybean exports heading south

> Maritime Strategies International reports US soybean exports fell 41% year on year in September and October, with shipments to China down 96%. Exports to other destinations rose 86%, and China imported only 67,000 tonnes of US soybeans in September versus 2.9 million a year earlier, due to a 25% Chinese tariff.

- Date: 2018-12-03 · published 2018-12-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61762-trump-s-trade-war-sees-us-soybean-exports-heading-south
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Ocean Grain Freight](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OCEANFRT.md)

## Why it matters

Chinese tariffs have shifted US soybean flows to Brazil, Argentina and Iran at lower prices, and the trade-war loss of China demand keeps US soybean export demand weaker. Any reopening of Chinese purchases would support US soybean and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- SOY: bearish ▼
- OCEANFRT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2019-05-29 | [Local ports see 'dramatic hit' to soybean exports during US-China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59104-local-ports-see-dramatic-hit-to-soybean-exports-during-us-china-trade-war.md) | +3.0% | +5.5% |
| SOY | 2025-04-26 | [Trump trade war sinking key commodity exports like pork and soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25130-trump-trade-war-sinking-key-commodity-exports-like-pork-and-soybeans.md) | -0.1% | +1.0% |
| SOY | 2019-11-06 | [Panamax rates slide as trade war bites into US soybean exports to China](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56287-panamax-rates-slide-as-trade-war-bites-into-us-soybean-exports-to-china.md) | -1.7% | -4.7% |
| SOY | 2018-01-16 | [For US Soybean Growers, Trade War Is Here](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66856-for-us-soybean-growers-trade-war-is-here.md) | +4.3% | +6.1% |
| SOY | 2017-02-01 | [Trump trade plans, South America crops could hurt U.S. farm exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72339-trump-trade-plans-south-america-crops-could-hurt-u-s-farm-exports.md) | +1.8% | +1.6% |
| SBM | 2018-11-12 | [U.S. soybean farmers hang on for dear life in Trump's China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62097-u-s-soybean-farmers-hang-on-for-dear-life-in-trump-s-china-trade-war.md) | +1.7% | +1.1% |
| SBM | 2019-05-28 | [Trade war drives need for South American soybean derivs \| FOW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59147-trade-war-drives-need-for-south-american-soybean-derivs-fow.md) | +6.7% | +5.7% |
| SBM | 2018-11-22 | [Trump's China trade war forces U.S. soybeans to take costly detour](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62091-trump-s-china-trade-war-forces-u-s-soybeans-to-take-costly-detour.md) | +0.1% | -0.3% |

## Sources

- drybulkmagazine.com: https://www.drybulkmagazine.com/dry-bulk/03122018/trumps-trade-war-sees-us-soybean-exports-heading-south/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.
