# ABARES downgrades predicted winter crop after damaging frosts, driest September on record - ABC News

> ABARES cut Australia's 2018-19 winter crop forecast to 29.3 million tonnes, 20 per cent below the 20-year average, after the driest September on record and significant frost damage. The lowest-since-2008-09 outlook reflects downgrades in most states except Western Australia.

- Date: 2018-12-03 · published 2018-12-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61529-abares-downgrades-predicted-winter-crop-after-damaging-frosts-driest-september
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Australian crop cuts export supplies of wheat, barley and canola from a major exporter, which tends to firm world feed grain and oilseed meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲
- CANMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-10-26 | [Dry September cuts winter crop prospects by 15pc: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62493-dry-september-cuts-winter-crop-prospects-by-15pc-abares-grain-central.md) | +0.8% | -3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-02 | [ABARES crop report forecasts winter production slump for third year in a row - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55529-abares-crop-report-forecasts-winter-production-slump-for-third-year-in-a-row.md) | -0.7% | -1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2018-12-04 | [Winter crop production down after poor start to spring: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61530-winter-crop-production-down-after-poor-start-to-spring-abares-grain-central.md) | -0.3% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2020-02-19 | [The reduction in sowing areas of winter wheat in the EU almost does not reduce the crop in the new season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54537-the-reduction-in-sowing-areas-of-winter-wheat-in-the-eu-almost-does-not-reduce.md) | -1.6% | -0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-01 | [Hard Red Winter Wheat Crop Rivals 2023 Disaster After Drought and Freeze Damage](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19782-hard-red-winter-wheat-crop-rivals-2023-disaster-after-drought-and-freeze-damage.md) | -2.9% | -0.1% |

## Sources

- abc.net.au: https://www.abc.net.au/news/rural/2018-12-04/abares-downgrades-predicted-crop/10579036

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.