# African swine fever factors into cattle price forecast - Beef Central

> ABARES forecasts Australian saleyard cattle prices for 2018-19 to average 435c/kg carcase weight, a 4% drop on 2017-18 and slightly higher than its September projection. The improvement reflects stronger Chinese demand for protein after African swine fever cut China's pig supply. Falling beef export prices still weigh on the outlook.

- Date: 2018-12-10 · published 2018-12-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61523-african-swine-fever-factors-into-cattle-price-forecast-beef-central
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller expected price decline in Australian cattle, driven by Chinese protein demand, modestly supports global beef and feed-demand expectations.

## Read by commodity

- LCATTLE: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2025-12-09 | [USDA Cuts Cattle Price Forecast After Tyson Shuts Nebraska Beef Plant - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21622-usda-cuts-cattle-price-forecast-after-tyson-shuts-nebraska-beef-plant-bloomberg.md) | +2.3% | +3.9% |
| LCATTLE | 2018-09-25 | [Increasing beef production: What it means for cattle prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63190-increasing-beef-production-what-it-means-for-cattle-prices.md) | +0.7% | +0.0% |
| LCATTLE | 2023-11-10 | [Several Factors Influence Sharp Sell-Off in Live Cattle Following WASDE Report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33326-several-factors-influence-sharp-sell-off-in-live-cattle-following-wasde-report.md) | -1.2% | -5.4% |
| LCATTLE | 2016-09-07 | [Lower Cash Fed Cattle Prices on Large Cattle Slaughter \| Ohio BEEF Cattle Letter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9461-lower-cash-fed-cattle-prices-on-large-cattle-slaughter-ohio-beef-cattle-letter.md) | +0.1% | -2.4% |
| LCATTLE | 2018-04-17 | [Lower beef and pork prices forecast - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65666-lower-beef-and-pork-prices-forecast-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +2.9% | -4.6% |

## Sources

- beefcentral.com: https://www.beefcentral.com/markets/swine-fever-sways-cattle-price-forecast/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.