# Beef outlook 2019: Making sense of trade wars, tariffs, global demand & supply - Beef Central

> Four analysts from Brazil, the US and China discussed trade wars, tariffs, global demand and supply, African swine fever and Australian drought for 2019. All five expect global beef export demand to stay firm in 2019, with China, Japan and Korea key. Trump's tariff threats and the 800-point market drop were cited as sources of uncertainty.

- Date: 2018-12-14 · published 2018-12-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61522-beef-outlook-2019-making-sense-of-trade-wars-tariffs-global-demand-and-supply
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

Firm export demand for beef supports cattle prices, while tariff uncertainty and African swine fever-driven pork shortfalls could shift protein demand and feed-grain sentiment.

## Read by commodity

- HOGS: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2020-12-08 | [Access changes redefining global beef trade competition - Beef Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49596-access-changes-redefining-global-beef-trade-competition-beef-central.md) | -0.9% | +4.0% |
| LCATTLE | 2020-08-07 | [SE Asia Report: Trade volumes remain high in spite of COVID - Beef Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51577-se-asia-report-trade-volumes-remain-high-in-spite-of-covid-beef-central.md) | +3.5% | +3.9% |
| LCATTLE | 2019-09-05 | [Trade uncertainty dominates global beef Q3](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57031-trade-uncertainty-dominates-global-beef-q3.md) | -2.1% | +3.2% |
| LCATTLE | 2020-05-15 | [The road from Mandalay: Myanmar's rise as key Chinese cattle supplier - Beef Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53085-the-road-from-mandalay-myanmar-s-rise-as-key-chinese-cattle-supplier-beef.md) | +6.2% | +5.2% |
| LCATTLE | 2022-12-02 | [Weekly global protein digest: HPAI, global dairy market update, Japan-US beef trade
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38174-weekly-global-protein-digest-hpai-global-dairy-market-update-japan-us-beef.md) | -0.1% | +1.8% |
| HOGS | 2017-03-08 | [Ag groups tout potential of trade pact with China \| Farmtario](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71955-ag-groups-tout-potential-of-trade-pact-with-china-farmtario.md) | +1.8% | -6.5% |
| HOGS | 2020-01-15 | [China to purchase $36 bil of US agricultural products in 2020, $43 bil in 2021: governments \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54943-china-to-purchase-36-bil-of-us-agricultural-products-in-2020-43-bil-in-2021.md) | +1.2% | -10.5% |
| HOGS | 2018-08-27 | [Hog, cattle futures sharply higher on news of trade deal - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63477-hog-cattle-futures-sharply-higher-on-news-of-trade-deal-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -3.6% | +17.2% |

## Sources

- beefcentral.com: https://www.beefcentral.com/news/beef-outlook-2019-making-sense-of-trade-wars-tariffs-global-demand-supply/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.