# Weak El Nino conditions developing in the Pacific this winter: IMD - The HinduBusinessLine

> The India Meteorological Department forecasts a strong possibility of weak El Niño conditions developing this winter, with a mild warming already visible in the western Pacific. The department also expects slightly warmer-than-usual winter minimum temperatures across most of India, which could affect the wheat crop.

- Date: 2018-12-03 · published 2018-12-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61503-weak-el-nino-conditions-developing-in-the-pacific-this-winter-imd-the
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

A developing El Niño raises the risk of a weaker Indian monsoon later in 2019, which could tighten Indian feed supplies and support demand for imported grains. Warmer winter temperatures may also affect wheat yields in the region.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-05-09 | [ENSO WILL TOE THE LINE BETWEEN EL NIÑO AND NEUTRAL CONDITIONS DURING JUNE-AUGUST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59009-enso-will-toe-the-line-between-el-nino-and-neutral-conditions-during-june-august.md) | -1.5% | +3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | -1.6% | +0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-23 | [Crops exit from winter dormancy in favourable conditions - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20108-crops-exit-from-winter-dormancy-in-favourable-conditions-joint-research-centre.md) | +0.7% | +0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-11 | [La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21415-la-nina-to-fade-early-next-year-neutral-pacific-conditions-likely-u-s.md) | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2019-01-03 | [Dry weather conditions in Brazil drive US soybean expectations up - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60944-dry-weather-conditions-in-brazil-drive-us-soybean-expectations-up-datamarnews.md) | +1.2% | +3.7% |
| RICE | 2021-06-01 | [Kharif outlook: How monsoon is linked to agri, economic development - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46518-kharif-outlook-how-monsoon-is-linked-to-agri-economic-development-the.md) | -0.2% | -1.1% |
| RICE | 2018-04-05 | [Weather phenomena like El Nino affect up to two-thirds of world's harvests - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65445-weather-phenomena-like-el-nino-affect-up-to-two-thirds-of-world-s-harvests.md) | +3.1% | +2.7% |
| RICE | 2017-10-08 | [Mapping the not-so-normal monsoon  - The Hindu](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68439-mapping-the-not-so-normal-monsoon-the-hindu.md) | +2.5% | -5.0% |

## Sources

- thehindubusinessline.com: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/commodities/weak-el-nino-conditions-developing-in-the-pacific-this-winter-imd/article25656112.ece

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.