# The battle for Azov: Round 1 goes to Russia | Brookings

> A Brookings analysis says Russian border patrol ships seized three Ukrainian naval vessels on November 25 while they were transiting the Kerch Strait to Azov ports. The author argues the attack signals a Russian push to control the strait and possibly blockade Ukrainian Azov ports.

- Date: 2018-12-03 · published 2018-12-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Black Sea · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61441-the-battle-for-azov-round-1-goes-to-russia-brookings
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A sustained Russian blockade of Azov ports would threaten a small share of Ukrainian grain exports and raise risk premiums on Black Sea supply. Price impact stays limited unless the blockade widens to main Black Sea ports.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-28 | [The Battle for the Black Sea \| Russia-Ukraine war \| Al Jazeera](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14478-the-battle-for-the-black-sea-russia-ukraine-war-al-jazeera.md) | -7.7% | -16.6% |
| WHEAT | 2022-11-04 | [Russia’s UN Grain Deal Boomerang: Implications for the Deal and Global Food Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7291-russia-s-un-grain-deal-boomerang-implications-for-the-deal-and-global-food.md) | +7.3% | +8.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-15 | [Unblocking the Black Sea for Ukrainian Grain \| RAND](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14481-unblocking-the-black-sea-for-ukrainian-grain-rand.md) | -2.3% | -13.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-02-28 | [Balancing the outlook for agriculture \| ANZ](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42660-balancing-the-outlook-for-agriculture-anz.md) | +12.1% | +26.0% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-15 | [Why allowing Ukraine to ship grain during Russia's war matters to the world \| AP News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14378-why-allowing-ukraine-to-ship-grain-during-russia-s-war-matters-to-the-world-ap.md) | +2.4% | +2.8% |
| CORN | 2022-06-28 | [The Battle for the Black Sea \| Russia-Ukraine war \| Al Jazeera](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14478-the-battle-for-the-black-sea-russia-ukraine-war-al-jazeera.md) | +4.0% | -16.7% |
| CORN | 2022-11-04 | [Russia’s UN Grain Deal Boomerang: Implications for the Deal and Global Food Prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7291-russia-s-un-grain-deal-boomerang-implications-for-the-deal-and-global-food.md) | -0.9% | -4.5% |
| CORN | 2022-06-15 | [Unblocking the Black Sea for Ukrainian Grain \| RAND](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14481-unblocking-the-black-sea-for-ukrainian-grain-rand.md) | -1.6% | +0.4% |

## Sources

- brookings.edu: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-battle-for-azov-round-1-goes-to-russia/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.