# Canadian Dollar Markets seen Underpricing "Upside Risks"

> Morgan Stanley strategists expect the Canadian dollar to rise further, arguing markets underestimate how far the Bank of Canada may hike rates this year. Oil has recovered, with WTI up 16% and Brent up 13.4% year to date on OPEC cuts and the Venezuela crisis.

- Date: 2019-01-28 · published 2019-01-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Canada · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61327-canadian-dollar-markets-seen-underpricing-upside-risks
- Commodities: [Canadian Dollar (CAD per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDCAD.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md), [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md)

## Why it matters

A firmer loonie and oil recovery would raise Canadian dollar-denominated input and energy costs, while the oil rebound reflects OPEC supply restraint that supports energy-linked feed and fuel costs.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bullish ▲
- BRENT: bullish ▲
- USDCAD: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTI | 2021-03-30 | [Canadian dollar slips as hedge fund jitters underpin the greenback - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48365-canadian-dollar-slips-as-hedge-fund-jitters-underpin-the-greenback-markets.md) | -3.5% | +2.4% |
| WTI | 2021-03-29 | [Canadian dollar dips as hedge fund default crimps risk appetite - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48367-canadian-dollar-dips-as-hedge-fund-default-crimps-risk-appetite-markets.md) | -3.7% | +1.7% |
| WTI | 2022-05-05 | [Canadian dollar seen rebounding as high oil price feeds trade surplus \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41653-canadian-dollar-seen-rebounding-as-high-oil-price-feeds-trade-surplus-reuters.md) | -2.1% | +8.4% |
| WTI | 2026-07-31 | [Canadian Dollar retreats as USD recovers on Fed, Middle East risks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18587-canadian-dollar-retreats-as-usd-recovers-on-fed-middle-east-risks.md) | -9.5% | +1.7% |
| WTI | 2023-01-26 | [Canadian dollar notches two-month high as stocks climb - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38036-canadian-dollar-notches-two-month-high-as-stocks-climb-markets-business-recorder.md) | -4.4% | -5.8% |
| BRENT | 2021-11-29 | [Canadian dollar rallies as air of calm returns to financial markets - The Globe and Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44263-canadian-dollar-rallies-as-air-of-calm-returns-to-financial-markets-the-globe.md) | -3.1% | +4.8% |
| BRENT | 2022-10-26 | [Weak dollar, big U.S. crude exports buoy oil markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39037-weak-dollar-big-u-s-crude-exports-buoy-oil-markets.md) | +2.4% | -4.5% |
| BRENT | 2020-10-22 | [Goldman Sachs: Commodities bull market ahead on dollar, inflation risk](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50555-goldman-sachs-commodities-bull-market-ahead-on-dollar-inflation-risk.md) | -5.9% | +6.6% |

## Sources

- poundsterlinglive.com: https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/cad/10752-the-canadian-dollar-markets-are-underpricing-the-upside-risks-says-morgan-stanley

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.