# China 2018 pork output surprises to downside, falls 0.9 per cent - The Business Times

> China's 2018 pork output fell 0.9% to 54.04 million tonnes, surprising analysts who expected a rise. The national hog herd declined 3% to 428.17 million head as farmers liquidated herds amid African swine fever, now found in 25 provinces and municipalities.

- Date: 2019-01-20 · published 2019-01-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61090-china-2018-pork-output-surprises-to-downside-falls-0-9-per-cent-the-business
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Falling pork output and herd size point to stronger pork import demand ahead, but also less domestic feed demand in the near term, which is mixed for feed grain and meal prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2020-01-17 | [China's 2019 pork output plunges to 16-year low as disease culls herd](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54965-china-s-2019-pork-output-plunges-to-16-year-low-as-disease-culls-herd.md) | +2.2% | -11.6% |
| HOGS | 2017-01-23 | [<Article>2016 pork output falls</Article>](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72995-article-2016-pork-output-falls-article.md) | +2.2% | +10.3% |
| HOGS | 2020-12-24 | [Hogs and Pigs Report: Wild Revisions and a Few Surprises - Pork Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49796-hogs-and-pigs-report-wild-revisions-and-a-few-surprises-pork-business.md) | +1.0% | +4.2% |
| HOGS | 2017-02-03 | [Rabobank: China imports to determine pork price rise - Food & Agribusiness](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72470-rabobank-china-imports-to-determine-pork-price-rise-food-and-agribusiness.md) | +4.9% | +0.9% |
| HOGS | 2021-09-27 | [Lean Hog and Pork Cutout Futures Surge After Hogs and Pigs Report - Pork Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45203-lean-hog-and-pork-cutout-futures-surge-after-hogs-and-pigs-report-pork-business.md) | +4.1% | -12.1% |
| SBM | 2023-07-17 | [China's Q2 Pork Output Highest for the Period in at Least a Decade - Pork Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35027-china-s-q2-pork-output-highest-for-the-period-in-at-least-a-decade-pork-business.md) | +3.6% | +2.7% |
| SBM | 2023-01-19 | [China’s 2022 pork output rises to highest in eight years](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37766-china-s-2022-pork-output-rises-to-highest-in-eight-years.md) | -2.5% | +1.9% |
| SBM | 2018-04-17 | [China pork output jumps 2.1 percent in Q1, pressuring prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65489-china-pork-output-jumps-2-1-percent-in-q1-pressuring-prices.md) | -1.6% | +3.2% |

## Sources

- businesstimes.com.sg: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/energy-commodities/china-2018-pork-output-surprises-downside-falls-09-cent

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.