# China pig feed numbers stay strong in 2018; ASF could impact 2019

> Alltech's 2019 Global Feed Survey put China's 2018 swine feed output at 79.6 million tons, still the world's top, with 42% of Chinese feed going to pigs. Alltech says ASF could significantly reduce Chinese feed output and pork production in 2019 and 2020.

- Date: 2019-01-29 · published 2019-01-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/61086-china-pig-feed-numbers-stay-strong-in-2018-asf-could-impact-2019
- Commodities: [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

Expected shrinkage in China's hog herd and feed output would cut demand for corn, soymeal and other feed ingredients, a bearish factor for feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- HOGS: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBM | 2019-05-31 | [ASF impacts on feed \| 2019-05-31  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59078-asf-impacts-on-feed-2019-05-31-meat-poultry.md) | -3.5% | -4.6% |
| SBM | 2020-03-04 | [Coronavirus complicates ASF situation in China \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54125-coronavirus-complicates-asf-situation-in-china-feed-strategy.md) | -2.6% | +5.8% |
| SBM | 2020-04-22 | [ASF, COVID-19 shape 2020 pig and feed production \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53521-asf-covid-19-shape-2020-pig-and-feed-production-feed-strategy.md) | -2.5% | -1.6% |
| SBM | 2021-04-22 | [ASF resurgence in China may slow imports of feedgrains \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47644-asf-resurgence-in-china-may-slow-imports-of-feedgrains-the-western-producer.md) | +2.3% | -1.7% |
| SBM | 2019-04-24 | [Impacts of African Swine Fever on China's Feed Industry and Soy Demand - Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59584-impacts-of-african-swine-fever-on-china-s-feed-industry-and-soy-demand-rabobank.md) | -1.7% | -1.9% |
| CORN | 2019-05-31 | [ASF impacts on feed \| 2019-05-31  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59078-asf-impacts-on-feed-2019-05-31-meat-poultry.md) | -2.5% | +3.0% |
| CORN | 2020-03-04 | [Coronavirus complicates ASF situation in China \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54125-coronavirus-complicates-asf-situation-in-china-feed-strategy.md) | +1.1% | -0.6% |
| CORN | 2019-11-15 | [ADM exec: ASF in China positively affecting margins \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56057-adm-exec-asf-in-china-positively-affecting-margins-feed-strategy.md) | -0.7% | -2.8% |

## Sources

- nationalhogfarmer.com: https://www.nationalhogfarmer.com/market-news/china-pig-feed-numbers-stay-strong-in-2018-asf-could-impact-2019

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.