# FEATURE-Swine fever outbreak may bury China's small pig farmers

> Reuters reports that Chinese small pig farmers are abandoning production after months of weak prices and movement restrictions, with Hebei-area prices falling below 4 yuan per kg. Estimates suggest China's production could fall by one-fifth this year.

- Date: 2019-02-03 · published 2019-02-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60583-feature-swine-fever-outbreak-may-bury-china-s-small-pig-farmers
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A sharp drop in Chinese hog output would boost demand for imported pork and feed ingredients, supporting meal and grain prices over the coming year.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-07-02 | [Millions of small pig farmers in Asia threatened by swine fever](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57974-millions-of-small-pig-farmers-in-asia-threatened-by-swine-fever.md) | -2.3% | +11.3% |
| HOGS | 2019-06-06 | [China’s African swine fever outbreak is unprecedented \| Vox](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58463-china-s-african-swine-fever-outbreak-is-unprecedented-vox.md) | -1.3% | -7.3% |
| HOGS | 2020-06-05 | [China reports African swine fever outbreak in Yunnan province](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52486-china-reports-african-swine-fever-outbreak-in-yunnan-province.md) | -5.6% | -10.7% |
| HOGS | 2020-07-10 | [China floods blamed for fresh African swine fever outbreaks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51995-china-floods-blamed-for-fresh-african-swine-fever-outbreaks.md) | +9.3% | +9.5% |
| HOGS | 2019-02-21 | [Avian Flu Diary: China MOA: African Swine Fever Outbreak In Yunnan Province](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60501-avian-flu-diary-china-moa-african-swine-fever-outbreak-in-yunnan-province.md) | +0.4% | +23.1% |
| SBM | 2019-09-08 | [One year on, close to 5 million pigs lost to Asia’s swine fever outbreak](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56950-one-year-on-close-to-5-million-pigs-lost-to-asia-s-swine-fever-outbreak.md) | +3.8% | +4.0% |
| SBM | 2018-11-05 | [USMEF says China's African Swine Fever outbreak now 54 cases - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61927-usmef-says-china-s-african-swine-fever-outbreak-now-54-cases-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -1.7% | +0.4% |
| SBM | 2019-10-17 | [Vietnam says African swine fever outbreak slows, urges farmers to rebuild herds](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56451-vietnam-says-african-swine-fever-outbreak-slows-urges-farmers-to-rebuild-herds.md) | +1.2% | -0.2% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/article/markets/commodities/feature-swine-fever-outbreak-may-bury-chinas-small-pig-farmers-idUSL3N1ZW3GR/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.