# Big dry cuts summer crop prospects: ABARES - Grain Central

> ABARES forecasts that dry, warm conditions in Queensland and northern NSW cut the 2018-19 summer crop area by 23 per cent to about 1.0 million hectares. Production is seen falling 33 per cent to about 2.7 million tonnes, with grain sorghum down 9 per cent and rice down 83 per cent.

- Date: 2019-02-18 · published 2019-02-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60573-big-dry-cuts-summer-crop-prospects-abares-grain-central
- Commodities: [Sorghum](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SORGHUM.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

Sharply lower sorghum and rice output tightens east-coast feed grain supply, supporting sorghum prices and encouraging buyers to shift to substitutes like corn and barley.

## Read by commodity

- RICE: bullish ▲
- SORGHUM: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2018-09-24 | [Monsoon rainfall drops further, endangering summer crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62999-monsoon-rainfall-drops-further-endangering-summer-crops.md) | -1.0% | +11.7% |
| RICE | 2017-10-19 | [Rice prices up in India, Vietnam as rains dampen crop supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68535-rice-prices-up-in-india-vietnam-as-rains-dampen-crop-supply.md) | -2.3% | +1.2% |
| RICE | 2019-02-18 | [ABARES crop report confirms tale of two seasons with eastern pain, western gain - ABC News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60567-abares-crop-report-confirms-tale-of-two-seasons-with-eastern-pain-western-gain.md) | +1.1% | +7.2% |
| RICE | 2019-01-21 | [Drying reservoirs, low winter crop yield, and a simmering water crisis](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61070-drying-reservoirs-low-winter-crop-yield-and-a-simmering-water-crisis.md) | +0.9% | -7.2% |
| RICE | 2023-12-26 | [Global 2024 staple food supplies to be strained by dry weather, export curbs \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32481-global-2024-staple-food-supplies-to-be-strained-by-dry-weather-export-curbs.md) | +1.4% | +2.2% |

## Sources

- beefcentral.com: https://www.beefcentral.com/news/big-dry-cuts-summer-crop-prospects-abares/
- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/news/big-dry-cuts-summer-crop-prospects-abares/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.