# El Niño rising: Will it affect the Indian monsoon? | Explained News - The Indian Express

> An Indian Express explainer says NOAA announced a developing weak El Niño in February 2019, with a 55% chance of persisting until spring. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology also reported El Niño development. The article explains that El Niño typically suppresses Indian monsoon rainfall, while La Niña tends to help it.

- Date: 2019-02-28 · published 2019-02-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60534-el-nino-rising-will-it-affect-the-indian-monsoon-explained-news-the-indian
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A weak El Niño raises the risk of a below-normal Indian monsoon, which could cut kharif rice and pulse output and affect Indian export policy. Any actual monsoon shortfall would be needed before prices react.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2023-10-09 | [Explained: How is ‘below normal’ monsoon 2023 impacting India’s economy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33579-explained-how-is-below-normal-monsoon-2023-impacting-india-s-economy.md) | -0.2% | -3.4% |
| CORN | 2024-06-13 | [El Niño is dead. Here’s what to expect in the coming months \| CNN](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29662-el-nino-is-dead-here-s-what-to-expect-in-the-coming-months-cnn.md) | -2.1% | -8.8% |
| CORN | 2019-10-11 | [Why strong monsoon rains are not necessarily good news for Indian farmers](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56514-why-strong-monsoon-rains-are-not-necessarily-good-news-for-indian-farmers.md) | +2.8% | +0.3% |
| CORN | 2023-09-30 | [India's monsoon rains hit five-year low due to El Nino](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34001-india-s-monsoon-rains-hit-five-year-low-due-to-el-nino.md) | +2.7% | +2.6% |
| CORN | 2019-05-09 | [ENSO WILL TOE THE LINE BETWEEN EL NIÑO AND NEUTRAL CONDITIONS DURING JUNE-AUGUST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59009-enso-will-toe-the-line-between-el-nino-and-neutral-conditions-during-june-august.md) | +2.3% | +9.3% |
| SOY | 2023-09-30 | [India's monsoon rains hit five-year low due to El Nino](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34001-india-s-monsoon-rains-hit-five-year-low-due-to-el-nino.md) | -0.7% | +1.7% |
| SOY | 2017-08-02 | [Erratic Monsoon Rains Threaten Key Indian Grain, Food Crops - AgriBusiness Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69408-erratic-monsoon-rains-threaten-key-indian-grain-food-crops-agribusiness-global.md) | +0.4% | -3.0% |
| SOY | 2023-07-12 | [In the new season sunseed production in Ukraine will be lower than expected](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35164-in-the-new-season-sunseed-production-in-ukraine-will-be-lower-than-expected.md) | -1.9% | -6.0% |

## Sources

- indianexpress.com: https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/el-nino-will-it-affect-indian-monsoon-5605730/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.