# CSI ENSO: The case of the missing central Pacific rainfall | NOAA Climate.gov

> NOAA's Climate.gov blog examines why the expected atmospheric response to a warm tropical Pacific was missing for months. In fall 2018 cloudiness over the central Pacific near the Date Line stayed near normal rather than showing the usual El Niño rainfall. The atmosphere and ocean have now coupled, and NOAA has declared weak El Niño conditions.

- Date: 2019-02-28 · published 2019-02-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60531-csi-enso-the-case-of-the-missing-central-pacific-rainfall-noaa-climate-gov
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

This is an explanatory piece on the forecasting of El Niño and does not add a new supply shock. It helps buyers judge how reliable ENSO forecasts are for crop-weather risk.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2022-05-12 | [May 2022 ENSO update: piece of cake \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41332-may-2022-enso-update-piece-of-cake-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -0.3% | -0.9% |
| CORN | 2020-10-23 | [The Rise of El Niño and La Niña \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50568-the-rise-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +0.8% | +10.6% |
| CORN | 2020-03-12 | [March 2020 ENSO update: puzzle time \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54058-march-2020-enso-update-puzzle-time-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -7.4% | -3.7% |
| CORN | 2019-12-12 | [December 2019 ENSO update: neutral, rinse, repeat \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55496-december-2019-enso-update-neutral-rinse-repeat-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +5.5% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2024-11-14 | [November 2024 ENSO update: ask me anything \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27324-november-2024-enso-update-ask-me-anything-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| SOY | 2022-05-12 | [May 2022 ENSO update: piece of cake \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41332-may-2022-enso-update-piece-of-cake-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +0.8% | +7.2% |
| SOY | 2020-10-23 | [The Rise of El Niño and La Niña \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50568-the-rise-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -2.0% | +9.7% |
| SOY | 2020-03-12 | [March 2020 ENSO update: puzzle time \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54058-march-2020-enso-update-puzzle-time-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -4.9% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- climate.gov: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/csi-enso-case-missing-central-pacific-rainfall

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.