# IMO2020: Compliance a key; IEA gives some hard numbers on distillate impact - FreightWaves

> Speakers at CERAWeek discussed IMO 2020, the upcoming cap on marine fuel sulfur at 0.5% from 3.5%. The IEA estimated non-compliance at about 700,000 barrels per day, and Maersk expects 85 to 90% compliance.

- Date: 2019-03-15 · published 2019-03-15T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60273-imo2020-compliance-a-key-iea-gives-some-hard-numbers-on-distillate-impact
- Commodities: [ULSD / Diesel](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DIESEL.md), [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md)

## Why it matters

Shifts in distillate demand from marine fuel could tighten diesel supply and lift diesel prices ahead of 2020. This is a forward-looking estimate rather than an immediate price driver.

## Read by commodity

- BRENT: neutral
- DIESEL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DIESEL | 2019-12-11 | [Reaction in the diesel market to IMO 2020 is still to come: Platts - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55751-reaction-in-the-diesel-market-to-imo-2020-is-still-to-come-platts-freightwaves.md) | +3.5% | -0.9% |
| DIESEL | 2019-06-23 | [Connecting all the bones to project what will happen when IMO2020 hits the market - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58769-connecting-all-the-bones-to-project-what-will-happen-when-imo2020-hits-the.md) | +1.2% | -0.8% |
| DIESEL | 2019-03-18 | [The outlook of one energy economist for IMO2020: chaos in the diesel market - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60275-the-outlook-of-one-energy-economist-for-imo2020-chaos-in-the-diesel-market.md) | -0.0% | +5.3% |
| DIESEL | 2020-11-27 | [Diesel markets closing out a strong November - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50321-diesel-markets-closing-out-a-strong-november-freightwaves.md) | -0.4% | +7.0% |
| DIESEL | 2021-01-07 | [Diesel market in 2021: Something closer to normalcy likely on tap - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49327-diesel-market-in-2021-something-closer-to-normalcy-likely-on-tap-freightwaves.md) | +4.6% | +11.6% |
| BRENT | 2019-11-16 | [FreightWaves oil report: So where is the impact from IMO 2020? - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56253-freightwaves-oil-report-so-where-is-the-impact-from-imo-2020-freightwaves.md) | +1.3% | +4.8% |
| BRENT | 2019-03-18 | [The outlook of one energy economist for IMO2020: chaos in the diesel market - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60275-the-outlook-of-one-energy-economist-for-imo2020-chaos-in-the-diesel-market.md) | +0.0% | +7.4% |
| BRENT | 2021-06-28 | [New streak underway: DOE/EIA diesel price up 9th straight week - FreightWaves](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46785-new-streak-underway-doe-eia-diesel-price-up-9th-straight-week-freightwaves.md) | +0.7% | -2.4% |

## Sources

- freightwaves.com: https://www.freightwaves.com/news/fuel-imo2020-compliance-iea-estimates

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.