# US soy exports to China may never match prior levels | Feed Strategy

> Economist Paul Aho said China may resume buying US soybeans under a deal reportedly close, but China will likely never return to its former purchase levels. He noted China now relies more on Latin American suppliers, and US soybean exports to the EU more than doubled in 2018-19.

- Date: 2019-03-06 · published 2019-03-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region China · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60120-us-soy-exports-to-china-may-never-match-prior-levels-feed-strategy
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Structural loss of Chinese market share caps the long-term demand upside for US soybeans and soymeal, though a deal could provide some near-term support.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2026-02-27 | [US grain exports reach near-record levels despite transportation challenges \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16384-us-grain-exports-reach-near-record-levels-despite-transportation-challenges.md) | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| SOY | 2025-03-04 | [China slaps extra tariffs of up to 15% on imports of major US farm exports \| AP News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14677-china-slaps-extra-tariffs-of-up-to-15-on-imports-of-major-us-farm-exports-ap.md) | +0.2% | +1.7% |
| SOY | 2019-11-06 | [Panamax rates slide as trade war bites into US soybean exports to China](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56287-panamax-rates-slide-as-trade-war-bites-into-us-soybean-exports-to-china.md) | -1.7% | -4.7% |
| SOY | 2019-05-29 | [Local ports see 'dramatic hit' to soybean exports during US-China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59104-local-ports-see-dramatic-hit-to-soybean-exports-during-us-china-trade-war.md) | +3.0% | +5.5% |
| SOY | 2021-11-22 | [China's Soy Imports Slump in October, as "U.S. Pork Exports to Mexico Show Promise" - Farm Policy News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14979-china-s-soy-imports-slump-in-october-as-u-s-pork-exports-to-mexico-show-promise.md) | -1.7% | +2.3% |
| SBM | 2019-05-29 | [Local ports see 'dramatic hit' to soybean exports during US-China trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59104-local-ports-see-dramatic-hit-to-soybean-exports-during-us-china-trade-war.md) | +2.6% | +0.9% |
| SBM | 2024-03-22 | [Brazil’s intrusion on US soy exports to China somewhat mimics trade-war era](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14764-brazil-s-intrusion-on-us-soy-exports-to-china-somewhat-mimics-trade-war-era.md) | -2.2% | -0.6% |
| SBM | 2018-02-20 | [U.S. soybean exports in prime spot for China buys - Morning Ag Clips](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66494-u-s-soybean-exports-in-prime-spot-for-china-buys-morning-ag-clips.md) | +1.0% | -3.9% |

## Sources

- feedstrategy.com: https://www.feedstrategy.com/business-markets/feed-production-by-region/article/15440380/us-soy-exports-to-china-may-never-match-prior-levels

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.