# Australia’s 2019-20 wheat output forecast higher | 2019-03-04  | World Grain

> ABARES forecasts Australian wheat production to rise 38% to 23.9 million tonnes in 2019-20, assuming average rainfall. This follows a 17.3 million tonne crop in 2018-19, the smallest in a decade after drought in New South Wales and Queensland.

- Date: 2019-03-04 · published 2019-03-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60036-australia-s-2019-20-wheat-output-forecast-higher-2019-03-04-world-grain
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A rebound in Australian output would add exportable supply after a drought-hit year, which is bearish for world wheat prices, though the forecast depends on rain arriving before planting.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-01-24 | [Solid grain output forecast for Australia \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26457-solid-grain-output-forecast-for-australia-world-grain.md) | +3.9% | +4.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-07-28 | [Australian wheat output revised higher \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18304-australian-wheat-output-revised-higher-world-grain.md) | -1.0% | +2.3% |
| WHEAT | 2016-12-07 | [Australian winter crop output forecast at record high \| World-grain.com \| December 07, 2016 15:26 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73457-australian-winter-crop-output-forecast-at-record-high-world-grain-com-december.md) | +1.1% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2019-09-20 | [Coceral sees higher E.U. grain output \| 2019-09-20  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57023-coceral-sees-higher-e-u-grain-output-2019-09-20-world-grain.md) | +2.5% | +3.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-02 | [Australia’s winter crops forecast surges \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22824-australia-s-winter-crops-forecast-surges-world-grain.md) | -1.4% | -1.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-11-11 | [Surging wheat output weighing on prices \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21998-surging-wheat-output-weighing-on-prices-world-grain.md) | +0.3% | -1.3% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-12-19 | [USDA lifts 2025-26 global wheat stocks forecast as higher output offsets record demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21549-usda-lifts-2025-26-global-wheat-stocks-forecast-as-higher-output-offsets-record.md) | +3.2% | +1.2% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-03-08 | [World wheat crop set for rebound: AMIS - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60025-world-wheat-crop-set-for-rebound-amis-grain-central.md) | +2.3% | +4.6% |

## Sources

- world-grain.com: https://www.world-grain.com/articles/11727-australias-2019-20-wheat-output-forecast-higher

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.