# OPEC production: exposed | Emirates NBD Research

> Algeria's president Abdelaziz Bouteflika said he would not seek re-election, adding political uncertainty to another OPEC member. Algeria is a small producer, but the IEA estimates that about 40% of OPEC capacity, roughly 34.6m b/d in total, is exposed to political risk. Iraq holds the largest share of that at-risk capacity.

- Date: 2019-03-13 · published 2019-03-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60020-opec-production-exposed-emirates-nbd-research
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

A growing share of OPEC capacity facing political risk raises the chance of supply disruptions, which would support crude prices and energy costs for feed producers.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bullish ▲
- BRENT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2020-06-06 | [OPEC and allies agree to extend record production cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52790-opec-and-allies-agree-to-extend-record-production-cut.md) | -7.2% | +3.3% |
| BRENT | 2020-04-12 | [Oil News: OPEC+ Deal to Cut Production Reached, Price War Ends - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53541-oil-news-opec-deal-to-cut-production-reached-price-war-ends-bloomberg.md) | -6.7% | +8.6% |
| BRENT | 2026-01-26 | [OPEC+ set to keep oil production pause for March as prices jump, sources say \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20969-opec-set-to-keep-oil-production-pause-for-march-as-prices-jump-sources-say.md) | +6.6% | +7.8% |
| BRENT | 2020-06-08 | [Oil prices top $40 as OPEC+ extends production cuts \| Fox Business](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52796-oil-prices-top-40-as-opec-extends-production-cuts-fox-business.md) | -7.2% | +3.3% |
| BRENT | 2026-09-06 | [OPEC Plus Holds Oil Production Steady as U.S.-Iran Strikes Resume - The New York Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17379-opec-plus-holds-oil-production-steady-as-u-s-iran-strikes-resume-the-new-york.md) | +12.0% | +18.6% |
| WTI | 2020-06-06 | [OPEC and allies agree to extend record production cut](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52790-opec-and-allies-agree-to-extend-record-production-cut.md) | -8.3% | +2.6% |
| WTI | 2020-04-12 | [Oil News: OPEC+ Deal to Cut Production Reached, Price War Ends - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53541-oil-news-opec-deal-to-cut-production-reached-price-war-ends-bloomberg.md) | -19.9% | +5.3% |
| WTI | 2026-01-26 | [OPEC+ set to keep oil production pause for March as prices jump, sources say \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20969-opec-set-to-keep-oil-production-pause-for-march-as-prices-jump-sources-say.md) | +6.4% | +9.1% |

## Sources

- emiratesnbdresearch.com: https://www.emiratesnbdresearch.com/en/articles/opec-production-exposed

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.