# Rain prospects remain unclear for April-June - Grain Central

> The Bureau of Meteorology's April-June outlook shows no strong tilt toward wetter or drier than average conditions for Australia. Days and nights are likely to be warmer than average, and El Niño could develop in autumn, which would raise the chance of drier conditions in the south and east.

- Date: 2019-03-27 · published 2019-03-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60011-rain-prospects-remain-unclear-for-april-june-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md)

## Why it matters

Neutral rainfall odds leave Australian grain production uncertain, but a possible autumn El Niño would add downside risk to winter crop yields and support wheat and barley prices.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: neutral
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-06-15 | [Feed grain update: Prices rally in June - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70605-feed-grain-update-prices-rally-in-june-grain-central.md) | +0.4% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2017-01-24 | [SAM trumps Uncle Sam… - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72846-sam-trumps-uncle-sam-grain-central.md) | +1.1% | +4.6% |
| WHEAT | 2022-10-13 | [Feedgrain Focus: Rain limits access, lifts prices - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39200-feedgrain-focus-rain-limits-access-lifts-prices-grain-central.md) | +3.8% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-10 | [Ag production falls for third year in row: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55533-ag-production-falls-for-third-year-in-row-abares-grain-central.md) | +2.5% | +3.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-09 | [Winter crop weather prospects hard to call + VIDEO - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64963-winter-crop-weather-prospects-hard-to-call-video-grain-central.md) | -1.1% | +2.2% |
| OATS | 2018-04-27 | [Oats planting set to roll in WA - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65555-oats-planting-set-to-roll-in-wa-grain-central.md) | +2.3% | +10.5% |
| OATS | 2017-06-06 | [What will be the trigger to push grain prices higher? - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70536-what-will-be-the-trigger-to-push-grain-prices-higher-grain-central.md) | +3.1% | +17.4% |
| OATS | 2026-06-01 | [Inmet releases agroclimatic projection for June and highlights possible impacts in the field](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13431-inmet-releases-agroclimatic-projection-for-june-and-highlights-possible-impacts.md) | -12.9% | -27.6% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/weather/rain-prospects-remain-unclear-for-april-june/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.