# IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 March Quick Look

> The IRI March 2019 ENSO Quick Look reports that tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures sit in the weak El Niño range, with subsurface waters warming. The official CPC/IRI outlook carries an El Niño advisory, giving an 80% chance of El Niño through March-May, falling to 60% for June-August.

- Date: 2019-03-19 · published 2019-03-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/60007-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-march-quick
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

A developing El Niño typically brings above-normal US corn and soybean yields but can trim wheat and dry parts of Southeast Asia and Australia, so the outlook weighs on grain supply expectations.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- RICE: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-12-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2018 December Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61498-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2018-december.md) | -0.4% | +1.2% |
| CORN | 2021-05-26 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| May Climate Briefing: Neutral Conditions are Here](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46986-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-may-climate.md) | +8.1% | +6.4% |
| CORN | 2026-01-08 | [2026 Weather Outlook: La Niña’s Quick Exit, El Niño’s Potential and the Signals Farmers Should Watch - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20956-2026-weather-outlook-la-nina-s-quick-exit-el-nino-s-potential-and-the-signals.md) | -3.4% | -2.0% |
| CORN | 2019-04-01 | [March 2019 El Niño Update: Think spring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60008-march-2019-el-nino-update-think-spring.md) | +0.2% | -2.9% |
| CORN | 2025-10-06 | [Climate scenario is more favorable for the 2025/26 harvest - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13465-climate-scenario-is-more-favorable-for-the-2025-26-harvest-cultivar-magazine.md) | -0.1% | +1.7% |
| SOY | 2018-12-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2018 December Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61498-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2018-december.md) | -4.2% | +0.0% |
| SOY | 2021-05-26 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| May Climate Briefing: Neutral Conditions are Here](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46986-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-may-climate.md) | +3.4% | -8.4% |
| SOY | 2026-01-08 | [2026 Weather Outlook: La Niña’s Quick Exit, El Niño’s Potential and the Signals Farmers Should Watch - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20956-2026-weather-outlook-la-nina-s-quick-exit-el-nino-s-potential-and-the-signals.md) | -2.1% | +5.7% |

## Sources

- iri.columbia.edu: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/2019-march-quick-look/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.