# ASF sparks uncertainty in the global meat industry | WATTAgNet | WATTPoultry.com

> China's swine herd has suffered heavy losses from African swine fever since August 2018, with conservative estimates at least 20 percent of annual pork capacity lost. Losses could reach 150 million pigs and 25 to 30 billion pounds of pork over six to 12 months, and meat prices in China and globally are rising.

- Date: 2019-04-30 · published 2019-04-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/59734-asf-sparks-uncertainty-in-the-global-meat-industry-wattagnet-wattpoultry-com
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Chicken](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CHICKEN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A large Chinese pork shortage pushes up global protein prices and increases import demand for substitutes, supporting hog, chicken and feed-ingredient prices.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲
- CHICKEN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-10-02 | [ASF outside China has global implications \| 2019-10-02  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56456-asf-outside-china-has-global-implications-2019-10-02-meat-poultry.md) | +0.1% | +3.6% |
| HOGS | 2019-04-10 | [ASF spreads to Tibet \| 2019-04-10  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59459-asf-spreads-to-tibet-2019-04-10-meat-poultry.md) | +7.3% | +5.6% |
| HOGS | 2020-10-06 | [ASF gap in China drives global protein inflation
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50592-asf-gap-in-china-drives-global-protein-inflation-the-pig-site.md) | +2.7% | -8.9% |
| HOGS | 2026-06-16 | [FAO urges stronger prevention as animal diseases spread globally - aviNews, the global poultry magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15906-fao-urges-stronger-prevention-as-animal-diseases-spread-globally-avinews-the.md) | +0.6% | +0.8% |
| HOGS | 2020-06-15 | [The global economic impact of ASF - WOAH Bulletin](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52485-the-global-economic-impact-of-asf-woah-bulletin.md) | +0.6% | -4.5% |
| SBM | 2020-01-14 | [ASF drives global poultry market in 2020 \| WATTAgNet \| WATTPoultry.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55242-asf-drives-global-poultry-market-in-2020-wattagnet-wattpoultry-com.md) | +0.0% | -2.7% |
| SBM | 2019-11-30 | [Chicken is the top global protein thanks to ASF \| WATTAgNet \| WATTPoultry.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56214-chicken-is-the-top-global-protein-thanks-to-asf-wattagnet-wattpoultry-com.md) | +2.2% | +2.3% |
| SBM | 2019-10-02 | [ASF outside China has global implications \| 2019-10-02  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56456-asf-outside-china-has-global-implications-2019-10-02-meat-poultry.md) | -0.6% | -0.4% |

## Sources

- wattagnet.com: https://www.wattagnet.com/broilers-turkeys/article/15528326/asf-sparks-uncertainty-in-the-global-meat-industry-wattagnet

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.