# Fertilizer Outlook - River opens, but too late for some products - Ritzville Warehouse Company

> Ammonia is the softest part of the fertilizer complex as retail prices stall late in planting, leaving dealers with leftover supplies. Black Sea urea slipped below $200/t, well under the May Gulf settlement, while urea gained wholesale and retail as nitrogen shortages persisted at northern river terminals. Barges are moving upriver again but likely too late to ease shortages.

- Date: 2019-05-17 · published 2019-05-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: logistics · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/59374-fertilizer-outlook-river-opens-but-too-late-for-some-products-ritzville
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

Weak global nitrogen prices and cheap Black Sea supply point to lower fertilizer costs later, while late-season shortages keep near-term urea firm, a factor for feed grain margins and corn-versus-soy planting choices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- UREA: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2019-05-14 | [Fertilizer Supplies Being Spread Thin \| Red River Farm Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59376-fertilizer-supplies-being-spread-thin-red-river-farm-network.md) | +7.0% | +11.7% |
| CORN | 2021-06-23 | [Low water levels in the Mississippi River create issues for commercial boating - DredgeWire : DredgeWire](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46469-low-water-levels-in-the-mississippi-river-create-issues-for-commercial-boating.md) | +2.8% | -5.4% |
| CORN | 2021-06-09 | [Colombia protests lose steam, but their economic toll rises](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46605-colombia-protests-lose-steam-but-their-economic-toll-rises.md) | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| CORN | 2020-06-02 | [River levels allow favorable barge movement compared to 2019 - Mid-West Farm Report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52496-river-levels-allow-favorable-barge-movement-compared-to-2019-mid-west-farm.md) | +2.9% | +1.2% |
| CORN | 2019-06-21 | [Armada of barges cleared for Mississippi River shipments after floods](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58495-armada-of-barges-cleared-for-mississippi-river-shipments-after-floods.md) | +0.2% | -2.4% |
| UREA | 2022-11-09 | [Fertilizer Prices Continue to Slump as Rail Strike Worries Reignite](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39003-fertilizer-prices-continue-to-slump-as-rail-strike-worries-reignite.md) | -1.4% | -9.8% |
| UREA | 2020-03-11 | [How Coronavirus Plays A Role In Fertilizer Pricing \| Hoosier Ag Today](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54078-how-coronavirus-plays-a-role-in-fertilizer-pricing-hoosier-ag-today.md) | -0.6% | -1.7% |
| UREA | 2025-03-21 | [Friday’s Insider: The Butterfly Effect — Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25928-friday-s-insider-the-butterfly-effect-fertilizer-daily.md) | -0.6% | +6.5% |

## Sources

- ritzwhse.com: https://www.ritzwhse.com/story-fertilizer-outlook-river-opens-too-late-products-22-190103

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.