# Chinese crisis hits pork supply

> African swine fever has spread across all Chinese provinces, with more than a million pigs culled and 150-200 million of China's 400 million pigs affected. Rabobank estimates Chinese production losses of 25-35%, and poultry prices in China have risen as consumers switch from pork.

- Date: 2019-05-07 · published 2019-05-07T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/59234-chinese-crisis-hits-pork-supply
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Chicken](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CHICKEN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Large Chinese pork shortfalls drive import demand for other proteins and feed, supporting global feed grain and meal prices. The scale of the loss makes this a major structural driver.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲
- CHICKEN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-03-01 | [Pigs fly: China pork producers surge as swine disease cuts supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60094-pigs-fly-china-pork-producers-surge-as-swine-disease-cuts-supply.md) | +1.7% | +35.0% |
| HOGS | 2019-12-03 | [China's restaurants feel the heat as pork supplies plunge](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55716-china-s-restaurants-feel-the-heat-as-pork-supplies-plunge.md) | +0.5% | +10.1% |
| HOGS | 2018-11-29 | [China mulls stockpiling pork to support farmers hit by swine fever](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62040-china-mulls-stockpiling-pork-to-support-farmers-hit-by-swine-fever.md) | -1.2% | +0.3% |
| HOGS | 2018-10-24 | [African swine fever hits Chinese pork industry in run-up to New Year \| China \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62433-african-swine-fever-hits-chinese-pork-industry-in-run-up-to-new-year-china-the.md) | +3.1% | -0.5% |
| HOGS | 2019-05-01 | [Pork could jump this year, stay elevated into 2020 due to China crisis](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59215-pork-could-jump-this-year-stay-elevated-into-2020-due-to-china-crisis.md) | -1.1% | +0.2% |
| SBM | 2019-09-18 | [Thailand’s gain as Chinese shun pork for chicken](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57212-thailand-s-gain-as-chinese-shun-pork-for-chicken.md) | +0.4% | +4.7% |
| SBM | 2019-12-03 | [China's restaurants feel the heat as pork supplies plunge](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55716-china-s-restaurants-feel-the-heat-as-pork-supplies-plunge.md) | +1.9% | +3.0% |
| SBM | 2020-10-01 | [China's pig herd rebounds after swine fever, but pork supply will take time to recover \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50641-china-s-pig-herd-rebounds-after-swine-fever-but-pork-supply-will-take-time-to.md) | +6.3% | +10.9% |

## Sources

- farmersweekly.co.nz: https://www.farmersweekly.co.nz/news/chinese-crisis-hits-pork-supply/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.