# How Hog Diseases Impact Supply, Demand and Profit - Center for Commercial Agriculture

> Purdue's Center for Commercial Agriculture analysis explains that African swine fever is cutting pork supply in China, raising demand for U.S. pork exports and lifting hog prices and producer margins since April. It notes that a U.S. outbreak could hit consumer demand and production differently.

- Date: 2019-05-12 · published 2019-05-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/59216-how-hog-diseases-impact-supply-demand-and-profit-center-for-commercial
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced Chinese supply lifts export demand for U.S. pork, supporting hog prices, but a U.S. outbreak would be a major risk to that support.

## Read by commodity

- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-05-14 | 1 | +5.1% | 3.2 | Analysis dated May 12 links ASF-driven Chinese pork supply losses to higher US pork export demand and hog prices, supporting a bullish sentiment rebound, though it is commentary rather than new information. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2022-05-01 | [Animal diseases in one species could impact us all \| PetfoodIndustry](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16274-animal-diseases-in-one-species-could-impact-us-all-petfoodindustry.md) | +0.5% | +6.1% |
| HOGS | 2019-11-12 | [U.S. pork prices rise as fatal pig disease cuts global meat supply: Tyson Foods CEO](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56220-u-s-pork-prices-rise-as-fatal-pig-disease-cuts-global-meat-supply-tyson-foods.md) | -0.3% | -2.4% |
| HOGS | 2021-02-08 | [China's hog futures, company stocks rally on disease outbreaks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48625-china-s-hog-futures-company-stocks-rally-on-disease-outbreaks.md) | +4.5% | +20.2% |
| HOGS | 2026-04-25 | [Weekly pig report: Disease pressure adds increased risk to hog supply outlook
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19865-weekly-pig-report-disease-pressure-adds-increased-risk-to-hog-supply-outlook.md) | -1.0% | +0.8% |
| HOGS | 2026-07-31 | [Exports, demand help support pork prices amid profitability concerns - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18492-exports-demand-help-support-pork-prices-amid-profitability-concerns-brownfield.md) | -2.5% | -12.8% |

## Sources

- ag.purdue.edu: https://ag.purdue.edu/commercialag/home/resource/2019/05/how-hog-diseases-impact-supply-demand-and-profit/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.