# New research accurately predicts Australian wheat harvests months in advance

> A study published in Agricultural and Forest Meteorology shows machine-learning models can forecast Australia's national wheat yield about two months before harvest. The models combine climate and satellite data. The research was funded by the US National Science Foundation.

- Date: 2019-05-15 · published 2019-05-15T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/59061-new-research-accurately-predicts-australian-wheat-harvests-months-in-advance
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Earlier and more accurate Australian crop forecasts could improve pricing for wheat buyers, but the study does not change current supply and is unlikely to move prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2018-07-20 | [Harvest 2018: The wheat harvest in advance](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63981-harvest-2018-the-wheat-harvest-in-advance.md) | +3.1% | +2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2024-01-29 | [Australia achieves average wheat, barley harvests](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32086-australia-achieves-average-wheat-barley-harvests.md) | -0.0% | -5.2% |
| WHEAT | 2021-02-16 | [Wheat heading to a record I Australian Rural & Regional News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48597-wheat-heading-to-a-record-i-australian-rural-and-regional-news.md) | +1.3% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-28 | [EU expects growth in wheat and rapeseed harvests](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25501-eu-expects-growth-in-wheat-and-rapeseed-harvests.md) | -1.4% | +2.0% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-11 | [COCERAL advanced the forecast for the wheat harvest in the EU and UK in 2026](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18757-coceral-advanced-the-forecast-for-the-wheat-harvest-in-the-eu-and-uk-in-2026.md) | +4.1% | +2.3% |

## Sources

- new.nsf.gov: https://new.nsf.gov/news/new-research-accurately-predicts-australian-wheat

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.