# WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2019) - World | ReliefWeb

> The WMO's May 2019 El Niño/La Niña update says Pacific sea surface temperatures have been at borderline to weak El Niño levels since October 2018. The atmosphere began showing El Niño-like patterns only in February. The chance of El Niño in June-August is 60-65%, and a strong event in 2019 appears low.

- Date: 2019-05-27 · published 2019-05-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/59008-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2019-world-reliefweb
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

The update confirms that a strong El Niño is unlikely, which reduces the chance of major drought in key producing regions. This keeps weather risk premium modest for feed grains and oilseeds.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- PALMOIL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-05-13 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2021)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46985-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2021.md) | -7.7% | -2.2% |
| CORN | 2022-03-01 | [El Niño / La Niña Update - February 2022](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42192-el-nino-la-nina-update-february-2022.md) | +4.7% | +12.1% |
| CORN | 2019-04-01 | [March 2019 El Niño Update: Think spring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60008-march-2019-el-nino-update-think-spring.md) | +0.2% | -2.9% |
| CORN | 2019-11-29 | [Uganda Key Message Update: Early bimodal harvests fill food gaps as food security improves in Karamoja, November 2019 - Uganda \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56121-uganda-key-message-update-early-bimodal-harvests-fill-food-gaps-as-food.md) | +1.1% | +3.4% |
| CORN | 2016-06-23 | [UT Crop Market Update 6/23/2016 \| UT Crops News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10241-ut-crop-market-update-6-23-2016-ut-crops-news.md) | -3.5% | -5.7% |
| SOY | 2021-05-13 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2021)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46985-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2021.md) | -7.4% | -7.0% |
| SOY | 2022-03-01 | [El Niño / La Niña Update - February 2022](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42192-el-nino-la-nina-update-february-2022.md) | +1.8% | +1.2% |
| SOY | 2019-04-01 | [March 2019 El Niño Update: Think spring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60008-march-2019-el-nino-update-think-spring.md) | +1.7% | -4.2% |

## Sources

- reliefweb.int: https://reliefweb.int/report/world/wmo-el-ni-ola-ni-update-may-2019

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.