# Fertilizer market outlook: potash prices to rise in 2019 but urea and phosphates remain subdued

> The World Bank's fertilizer outlook projects its Fertilizer Price Index to rise 4.8% in 2019 after a 5.4% first-quarter decline. Potash (MOP) prices are expected to climb while urea stays roughly flat and DAP falls. Risks cited include expiring US waivers on Iranian urea sanctions and US-China trade tensions.

- Date: 2019-06-03 · published 2019-06-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/58518-fertilizer-market-outlook-potash-prices-to-rise-in-2019-but-urea-and-phosphates
- Commodities: [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Potash strength raises input costs for crop producers, while flat urea and falling DAP keep nitrogen and phosphate costs soft. Iran sanctions could tighten urea supply, which is a key upside risk for nitrogen prices.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bearish ▼
- UREA: neutral
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2022-09-27 | [Fertilizer Prices, Rates, and Costs for 2023 - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11906-fertilizer-prices-rates-and-costs-for-2023-farmdoc-daily.md) | -5.7% | -9.1% |
| UREA | 2023-11-06 | [Fertilizer market review: What will 2024 bring? \| Ag Proud](https://feedsoft.ai/events/33094-fertilizer-market-review-what-will-2024-bring-ag-proud.md) | -2.8% | -6.4% |
| UREA | 2023-06-16 | [Global fertilizer market remains unstable \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35419-global-fertilizer-market-remains-unstable-world-grain.md) | +3.3% | +6.7% |
| UREA | 2022-09-29 | [Fertilizer Prices Remain “Considerably Higher” Than Last Year, as Hurricane Ian Could Worsen Outlook \| Farm Policy News \| Illinois](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11905-fertilizer-prices-remain-considerably-higher-than-last-year-as-hurricane-ian.md) | -4.2% | -9.1% |
| UREA | 2023-05-21 | [Fertilizer Prices Mixed- Urea Climbs, Anhydrous Lower \| Farm Policy News \| Illinois](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5366-fertilizer-prices-mixed-urea-climbs-anhydrous-lower-farm-policy-news-illinois.md) | -14.9% | -20.2% |
| DAP | 2020-07-03 | [Global fertilizer prices expected to remain low over second half of 2020 - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52429-global-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-remain-low-over-second-half-of-2020.md) | +3.3% | +12.5% |
| DAP | 2020-01-29 | [PhosAgro boosts fertilizer production to a record 9.5 million tonnes in 2019 - NewsnReleases](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55404-phosagro-boosts-fertilizer-production-to-a-record-9-5-million-tonnes-in-2019.md) | +9.5% | +8.6% |
| DAP | 2023-04-08 | [Global Fertilizer Price Updates: March’ 2023 -](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5937-global-fertilizer-price-updates-march-2023.md) | +9.5% | -3.4% |

## Sources

- blogs.worldbank.org: https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/developmenttalk/fertilizer-market-outlook-potash-prices-rise-2019-urea-and-phosphates-remain

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.