# Prediction of Upcoming Monsoon & Its Impact on Kharif Crops in Karnataka, Telangana, Odisha, Haryana, Other States

> Skymet Weather Services forecasts Indian monsoon rainfall at 93% of the long-period average for June to September, which is below normal. The report links a developing El Niño, with an 80% chance in March-May dropping to 60% for June-August, to a sluggish June onset and deficit rain in July.

- Date: 2019-06-08 · published 2019-06-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region India · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/58508-prediction-of-upcoming-monsoon-and-its-impact-on-kharif-crops-in-karnataka
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md)

## Why it matters

A below-normal Indian monsoon threatens kharif crops and raises Indian demand for imports of edible oils and feed, supporting palm oil and soybean prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2017-03-14 | [Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71913-weak-el-nino-to-have-small-impact-on-asian-crops-this-year-the-star.md) | +1.5% | -5.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-13 | [IMD Forecasts Below Normal South West Monsoon Rainfall in 2026, El Niño to Impact India’s Kharif Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19635-imd-forecasts-below-normal-south-west-monsoon-rainfall-in-2026-el-nino-to.md) | -1.0% | -0.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2026-04-16 | [How El Nino-driven weaker monsoon rains could impact India - The Economic Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19704-how-el-nino-driven-weaker-monsoon-rains-could-impact-india-the-economic-times.md) | +0.8% | -0.8% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-06-16 | [FACTBOX: Mapping El Nino's impact on crop yields, global food trade in 2023-24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35405-factbox-mapping-el-nino-s-impact-on-crop-yields-global-food-trade-in-2023-24.md) | +1.8% | +14.5% |
| PALMOIL | 2017-10-25 | [Strong La Nina will have significant impact on palm oil production \| Borneo Post Online](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68565-strong-la-nina-will-have-significant-impact-on-palm-oil-production-borneo-post.md) | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| SOY | 2020-10-16 | [Crop yields reveal impact of drought, derecho in parts of I states \| Crop Conditions \| farmweeknow.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50493-crop-yields-reveal-impact-of-drought-derecho-in-parts-of-i-states-crop.md) | +1.1% | +7.0% |
| SOY | 2023-06-29 | [ISA Experts Weigh In On The State Of Crop Conditions](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13274-isa-experts-weigh-in-on-the-state-of-crop-conditions.md) | +5.2% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2026-04-13 | [IMD Forecasts Below Normal South West Monsoon Rainfall in 2026, El Niño to Impact India’s Kharif Season](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19635-imd-forecasts-below-normal-south-west-monsoon-rainfall-in-2026-el-nino-to.md) | -0.7% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- krishijagran.com: https://krishijagran.com/agripedia/prediction-of-upcoming-monsoon-its-impact-on-kharif-crops-in-karnataka-telangana-odisha-haryana-other-states/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.