# ASF impact a waiting game

> CoBank economist Krissa Welshans estimates that African swine fever will create a protein deficit in three to six months. The article text provided is only a brief author bio, so the specific data behind the estimate is not shown.

- Date: 2019-07-25 · published 2019-07-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/58247-asf-impact-a-waiting-game
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Chicken](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CHICKEN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A forecast protein shortfall from ASF in Asia would lift demand for other animal proteins and feed ingredients, supporting hog, poultry and meal prices over the coming months.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲
- CHICKEN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2020-06-15 | [The global economic impact of ASF - WOAH Bulletin](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52485-the-global-economic-impact-of-asf-woah-bulletin.md) | +0.6% | -4.5% |
| HOGS | 2019-08-27 | [Rabobank: ASF impacts becoming clear \| 2019-08-27  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57474-rabobank-asf-impacts-becoming-clear-2019-08-27-meat-poultry.md) | -1.6% | -10.7% |
| HOGS | 2019-03-22 | [China's pork imports seen doubling in 2019 on swine fever impact - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60095-china-s-pork-imports-seen-doubling-in-2019-on-swine-fever-impact-grainews.md) | +6.9% | +20.0% |
| HOGS | 2019-04-17 | [ASF-driven rebound makes marketing difficult](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7157-asf-driven-rebound-makes-marketing-difficult.md) | +1.3% | -1.0% |
| HOGS | 2018-12-05 | [More and more ASF cases in China - imports of US pork](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61547-more-and-more-asf-cases-in-china-imports-of-us-pork.md) | -2.8% | +3.0% |
| SBM | 2019-11-15 | [ADM exec: ASF in China positively affecting margins \| Feed Strategy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56057-adm-exec-asf-in-china-positively-affecting-margins-feed-strategy.md) | -0.7% | -2.5% |
| SBM | 2020-01-14 | [ASF drives global poultry market in 2020 \| WATTAgNet \| WATTPoultry.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55242-asf-drives-global-poultry-market-in-2020-wattagnet-wattpoultry-com.md) | +0.0% | -2.7% |
| SBM | 2019-11-30 | [Chicken is the top global protein thanks to ASF \| WATTAgNet \| WATTPoultry.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56214-chicken-is-the-top-global-protein-thanks-to-asf-wattagnet-wattpoultry-com.md) | +2.2% | +2.3% |

## Sources

- feedstuffs.com: https://www.feedstuffs.com/market-news/asf-impact-a-waiting-game

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.