# Pig outlook - Lean hog futures bears in control
						 | The Pig Site

> Lean hog futures saw short covering after hitting a seven-week low, while the CME lean hog index fell to $97.20. Commentary says US agriculture is caught in a broader US-China dispute over rare earths and semiconductors ahead of a planned Trump-Xi summit.

- Date: 2025-10-17 · published 2025-10-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5788-pig-outlook-lean-hog-futures-bears-in-control-the-pig-site
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

Uncertainty over US-China trade relations and the summit clouds export prospects for US pork and other farm goods, keeping hog prices under pressure.

## Read by commodity

- HOGS: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2025-10-19 | 5 | -9.5% | -4.4 | Bears in control, seven-week low and falling CME lean hog index reflect weak cash fundamentals and US-China trade tension weighing on sentiment. |
| HOGS | 2025-10-20 | 5 | -9.6% | -3.7 | Bears are in control with the index lower and US-China trade dispute uncertainty ahead of the summit, which hurts export sentiment. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2025-12-19 | [Pig outlook: Lean hog futures prices trending up
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21671-pig-outlook-lean-hog-futures-prices-trending-up-the-pig-site.md) | +0.5% | +1.4% |
| HOGS | 2026-04-02 | [Weekly pig outlook: Lean hog futures prices decrease
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19871-weekly-pig-outlook-lean-hog-futures-prices-decrease-the-pig-site.md) | -0.3% | +3.1% |
| HOGS | 2021-12-17 | [Pig outlook: Lean hog bulls struggling, plus China and Tyson news
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43761-pig-outlook-lean-hog-bulls-struggling-plus-china-and-tyson-news-the-pig-site.md) | +2.2% | +1.8% |
| HOGS | 2022-11-11 | [CME cattle futures firm; hog futures ease
						 \| The Beef Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38814-cme-cattle-futures-firm-hog-futures-ease-the-beef-site.md) | -0.4% | -5.5% |
| HOGS | 2019-06-03 | [Trade fights continue to batter U.S. live cattle, lean hog futures](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11384-trade-fights-continue-to-batter-u-s-live-cattle-lean-hog-futures.md) | -2.8% | -9.3% |

## Sources

- thepigsite.com: https://www.thepigsite.com/articles/pig-outlook-lean-hog-futures-bears-in-control

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.