# Hog prices slump as China's pork glut deepens - CME
						 | The Pig Site

> CME feeder and live cattle futures hit contract highs as US suspension of Mexican cattle imports over screwworm tightened supplies. Lean hog futures fell for a fifth straight day on a production glut and slumping hog prices in China.

- Date: 2025-10-12 · published 2025-10-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5784-hog-prices-slump-as-china-s-pork-glut-deepens-cme-the-pig-site
- Commodities: [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md), [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

Reduced Mexican feeder cattle imports keep feeder and fed cattle supplies tight, supporting prices. Weaker Chinese hog prices add pressure to US lean hog futures.

## Read by commodity

- HOGS: bearish ▼
- FCATTLE: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2025-10-19 | 5 | -9.5% | -4.4 | Lean hogs fell five straight days on a production glut and slumping Chinese hog prices, directly matching the start of the 5-day decline. |
| HOGS | 2025-10-14 | 1 | -7.5% | -5.6 | Published Oct 12, it reports lean hogs falling five straight days on a production glut and weak China hog prices, which is the selling pressure leading into the Oct 14 drop. |
| HOGS | 2025-10-20 | 5 | -9.6% | -3.7 | Lean hogs fell five straight days on a production glut and weak Chinese hog prices, which weighed on global sentiment. |
| HOGS | 2025-10-15 | 1 | -7.7% | -5.8 | Lean hogs had already fallen five straight days on a production glut and weak Chinese hog prices, so the selloff momentum and bearish sentiment carried into Oct 15. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2024-12-02 | [Feeder cattle futures set July high - CME
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27084-feeder-cattle-futures-set-july-high-cme-the-cattle-site.md) | -1.4% | +0.8% |
| FCATTLE | 2020-09-13 | [CME update: live cattle futures rise as shifts in pork market could mean increased consumption of beef
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51242-cme-update-live-cattle-futures-rise-as-shifts-in-pork-market-could-mean.md) | +0.6% | -1.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-04-06 | [Why are cattle prices surging in the U.S. right now?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10267-why-are-cattle-prices-surging-in-the-u-s-right-now.md) | +0.3% | -0.4% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-06-05 | [Cattle futures rally on first US screwworm detection - CME
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12089-cattle-futures-rally-on-first-us-screwworm-detection-cme-the-cattle-site.md) | +1.8% | +2.0% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-09-24 | [Screwworm threat tightens US beef supply, lifts feeders - CME
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23007-screwworm-threat-tightens-us-beef-supply-lifts-feeders-cme-the-cattle-site.md) | -1.0% | +2.2% |
| LCATTLE | 2021-03-15 | [China’s beef herd to grow, on the back of high meat prices - Beef Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48053-china-s-beef-herd-to-grow-on-the-back-of-high-meat-prices-beef-central.md) | -0.3% | +5.2% |
| LCATTLE | 2019-06-06 | [China boosts beef imports as killer hog virus blights pork](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58567-china-boosts-beef-imports-as-killer-hog-virus-blights-pork.md) | -0.0% | -3.5% |
| LCATTLE | 2019-06-05 | [Will China’s BSE announcement bolster U.S. cattle prices?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58566-will-china-s-bse-announcement-bolster-u-s-cattle-prices.md) | +0.6% | -4.0% |

## Sources

- thepigsite.com: https://www.thepigsite.com/news/2025/10/cattle-futures-soar-on-import-halt-tight-supplies-cme

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.