# Analysts question African swine fever recovery | The Western Producer

> China's agriculture ministry says African swine fever is under control and hog production can return to normal, backed by aid, subsidized loans and insurance. Analysts doubt the claim, citing under-reporting, and USDA estimates China's hog herd will shrink 21 percent in 2019 and a further 10 percent in 2020.

- Date: 2019-08-08 · published 2019-08-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/57569-analysts-question-african-swine-fever-recovery-the-western-producer
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

A continued shrinking herd and government rebuilding support point to lower feed demand for a time but a potential recovery in pork output that would later lift feed grain and meal demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2021-12-13 | [African swine fever risk is real](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16316-african-swine-fever-risk-is-real.md) | +5.4% | +5.7% |
| HOGS | 2020-06-15 | [African swine fever and the World Animal Health Information System - WOAH Bulletin](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52482-african-swine-fever-and-the-world-animal-health-information-system-woah-bulletin.md) | +0.6% | -4.5% |
| HOGS | 2019-04-22 | [Pork and Soybean Markets Adjust to African Swine Fever - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59588-pork-and-soybean-markets-adjust-to-african-swine-fever-proag.md) | -0.6% | +3.2% |
| HOGS | 2018-10-01 | [Focus On… African Swine Fever – What to Expect?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62437-focus-on-african-swine-fever-what-to-expect.md) | +6.4% | -5.4% |
| HOGS | 2020-01-14 | [African swine fever ten years on: the lessons learned and the way forward](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54964-african-swine-fever-ten-years-on-the-lessons-learned-and-the-way-forward.md) | +2.6% | -8.9% |
| CORN | 2020-01-14 | [African swine fever ten years on: the lessons learned and the way forward](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54964-african-swine-fever-ten-years-on-the-lessons-learned-and-the-way-forward.md) | +0.5% | -2.2% |
| CORN | 2019-01-01 | [African Swine Fever in China: An Update](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60974-african-swine-fever-in-china-an-update.md) | +1.4% | +1.8% |
| CORN | 2024-10-11 | [U.S. farmers call for vaccines to fight avian flu \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27869-u-s-farmers-call-for-vaccines-to-fight-avian-flu-the-western-producer.md) | -1.8% | +0.9% |

## Sources

- producer.com: https://www.producer.com/markets/analysts-question-african-swine-fever-recovery/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.