# EU vs. Indonesia: A trade war that isn't

> Analysts say the EU's 8% to 18% countervailing duties on Indonesian biodiesel are unlikely to escalate into a full trade war, since Indonesia's retaliation would hurt its own economy more. Indonesia's shipments to the EU are far larger than the reverse.

- Date: 2019-09-01 · published 2019-09-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/57467-eu-vs-indonesia-a-trade-war-that-isn-t
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Limited escalation suggests the palm biodiesel restriction persists without a major retaliation shock, so palm oil price pressure stays moderate.

## Read by commodity

- PALMOIL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2025-09-24 | [Indonesia's palm oil exports to EU to climb on trade pact, regulatory reprieve \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22880-indonesia-s-palm-oil-exports-to-eu-to-climb-on-trade-pact-regulatory-reprieve.md) | +0.2% | +1.5% |
| PALMOIL | 2019-07-25 | [EU plans to impose import duties on Indonesia biodiesel \| The Star](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57980-eu-plans-to-impose-import-duties-on-indonesia-biodiesel-the-star.md) | +0.2% | +8.1% |
| PALMOIL | 2020-01-09 | [India palm import curbs to start Malaysia, Indonesia price war - Association](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55183-india-palm-import-curbs-to-start-malaysia-indonesia-price-war-association.md) | -0.9% | -7.6% |
| PALMOIL | 2019-04-06 | [Indonesian Palm Oil Association Says EU Discriminatory](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59613-indonesian-palm-oil-association-says-eu-discriminatory.md) | -2.6% | -11.6% |
| PALMOIL | 2019-02-13 | [Indonesia defends palm oil after EU targets 2030 phase-out in road fuel \| FMT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60461-indonesia-defends-palm-oil-after-eu-targets-2030-phase-out-in-road-fuel-fmt.md) | +0.1% | -6.9% |

## Sources

- dw.com: https://www.dw.com/en/eu-vs-indonesia-is-it-really-a-trade-war/a-50052152

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.