# The U.S.-Iran War Has Hit Cattle. How Much Lower Will Prices Go?

> April live cattle futures hit a five-week low and closed at a bearish weekly and monthly low. The US-Iran war has rattled global markets and increased risk aversion. The analyst flags $231 as chart support and $210 as a downside target.

- Date: 2026-03-02 · published 2026-03-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5732-the-u-s-iran-war-has-hit-cattle-how-much-lower-will-prices-go
- Commodities: [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md), [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

Risk aversion and reduced consumer confidence may cut demand for higher-priced beef, weighing on cattle futures. Technical breakdown adds selling pressure.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bearish ▼
- LCATTLE: bearish ▼

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2026-03-02 | 1 | -3.1% | -5.9 | Links the US-Iran war to risk aversion and a weekly/monthly bearish close in live cattle, a sentiment channel that contributed to the selloff. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LCATTLE | 2022-03-09 | [Cattle Input Prices Surge \| Ohio BEEF Cattle Letter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42434-cattle-input-prices-surge-ohio-beef-cattle-letter.md) | -0.2% | -1.3% |
| LCATTLE | 2026-03-02 | [Cattle and Grains See Risk Off Selling on Iran Conflict: Have Cattle Topped? - Farm Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5731-cattle-and-grains-see-risk-off-selling-on-iran-conflict-have-cattle-topped-farm.md) | -2.8% | -3.5% |
| LCATTLE | 2020-03-09 | [U.S. livestock: Cattle futures dive, led by energy, equity markets - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5176-u-s-livestock-cattle-futures-dive-led-by-energy-equity-markets-agcanada.md) | -5.6% | -6.9% |
| LCATTLE | 2026-03-09 | [Grains Retreat Following Energies, See Farmer Selling: Cattle Plunge - AgWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10387-grains-retreat-following-energies-see-farmer-selling-cattle-plunge-agweb.md) | -1.4% | +3.3% |
| LCATTLE | 2023-07-24 | [After the Bell \| July 24, 2023 - Pro Farmer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11935-after-the-bell-july-24-2023-pro-farmer.md) | -0.0% | +0.0% |
| FCATTLE | 2022-03-09 | [Cattle Input Prices Surge \| Ohio BEEF Cattle Letter](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42434-cattle-input-prices-surge-ohio-beef-cattle-letter.md) | +1.5% | +1.4% |
| FCATTLE | 2022-11-15 | [CME feeder cattle approach one-month low as corn jumps \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7174-cme-feeder-cattle-approach-one-month-low-as-corn-jumps-financial-post.md) | +3.2% | +4.1% |
| FCATTLE | 2026-03-02 | [Cattle and Grains See Risk Off Selling on Iran Conflict: Have Cattle Topped? - Farm Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5731-cattle-and-grains-see-risk-off-selling-on-iran-conflict-have-cattle-topped-farm.md) | +0.1% | +1.7% |

## Sources

- barchart.com: https://www.barchart.com/story/news/511287/the-u-s-iran-war-has-hit-cattle-how-much-lower-will-prices-go

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.