# Global dynamics continue to shape fertiliser prices

> Ballance Agri-Nutrients expects fertilizer prices to stay firm with marginal increases possible through autumn. It cites strong urea demand from India, Chinese export restrictions on DAP, MAP, NPK and urea, reduced Russian sulphur exports, and high energy costs.

- Date: 2026-02-03 · published 2026-02-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5722-global-dynamics-continue-to-shape-fertiliser-prices
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Chinese export restrictions and India's urea buying keep nitrogen and phosphate supply tight, sustaining higher input prices. This adds cost pressure on feed producers that rely on fertilized crops.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2023-12-22 | [Fertilizer Outlook: Global dynamics to influence 2024 fertilizer prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32630-fertilizer-outlook-global-dynamics-to-influence-2024-fertilizer-prices.md) | +1.7% | +2.7% |
| UREA | 2021-10-20 | [Rice Prices Set to Rise as Fertilizer Rally Drives Up Farm Costs - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44642-rice-prices-set-to-rise-as-fertilizer-rally-drives-up-farm-costs-caixin-global.md) | -2.0% | +9.0% |
| UREA | 2025-11-04 | [China’s export controls drive up global fertilizer prices - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21859-china-s-export-controls-drive-up-global-fertilizer-prices-datamarnews.md) | -2.3% | -10.6% |
| UREA | 2021-10-20 | [China’s curbs on fertilizer exports to worsen global price shock](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44476-china-s-curbs-on-fertilizer-exports-to-worsen-global-price-shock.md) | -2.0% | +9.0% |
| UREA | 2025-02-03 | [Urea Continues to Rise as EU Proposes Russian Fertiliser Tariffs \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4645-urea-continues-to-rise-as-eu-proposes-russian-fertiliser-tariffs-cz-app.md) | +10.5% | +9.8% |
| DAP | 2023-12-22 | [Fertilizer Outlook: Global dynamics to influence 2024 fertilizer prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32630-fertilizer-outlook-global-dynamics-to-influence-2024-fertilizer-prices.md) | +0.9% | +3.9% |
| DAP | 2021-10-20 | [Rice Prices Set to Rise as Fertilizer Rally Drives Up Farm Costs - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44642-rice-prices-set-to-rise-as-fertilizer-rally-drives-up-farm-costs-caixin-global.md) | +0.0% | +4.3% |
| DAP | 2025-11-04 | [China’s export controls drive up global fertilizer prices - DatamarNews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21859-china-s-export-controls-drive-up-global-fertilizer-prices-datamarnews.md) | -0.6% | -10.8% |

## Sources

- farmersweekly.co.nz: https://www.farmersweekly.co.nz/markets/global-dynamics-continue-to-shape-fertiliser-prices/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.