# Analyst Insight: Is UK barley export competitive? | AHDB

> UK feed wheat futures for November delivery closed at £134.75 per tonne, while Paris rapeseed futures closed at €381.50 per tonne. The UK faces a large barley surplus that would normally go to Europe, and a no-deal Brexit could require it to price competitively against Black Sea and French exporters in non-EU markets.

- Date: 2019-09-12 · published 2019-09-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Europe · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/57141-analyst-insight-is-uk-barley-export-competitive-ahdb
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [British Pound (USD per GBP)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/GBPUSD.md)

## Why it matters

A large UK barley surplus and the need to price against Black Sea origins in third-country markets pressure European barley and feed wheat values, linking UK export prices closely to Black Sea levels.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- GBPUSD: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2020-05-13 | [UK barley exports – where in the world could they go? Grain Market Daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53201-uk-barley-exports-where-in-the-world-could-they-go-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -0.4% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-12-03 | [Barley Export Prices in Ukraine Surge Amid Limited Supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12531-barley-export-prices-in-ukraine-surge-amid-limited-supply.md) | -1.5% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-18 | [Export interest grows as barley closes price gap - Farmers Weekly](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67060-export-interest-grows-as-barley-closes-price-gap-farmers-weekly.md) | +2.9% | +5.9% |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-22 | [Ukrainian grain is quite competitive on the MENA market — Cotecna](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57456-ukrainian-grain-is-quite-competitive-on-the-mena-market-cotecna.md) | +2.1% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-05-17 | [In April Ukrainian sea ports reduced export deliveries by 10% — Latifundist.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64882-in-april-ukrainian-sea-ports-reduced-export-deliveries-by-10-latifundist-com.md) | +4.3% | +3.0% |

## Sources

- ahdb.org.uk: https://ahdb.org.uk/news/analyst-insight-is-uk-barley-export-competitive

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.