# Where next for soybeans? - High Plains Journal

> David Murray's column says US soybean growers face unusual uncertainty as the trade war has cut agricultural exports 6% to $134.5 billion, with the US ag trade surplus forecast at $5.2 billion, the smallest since 2006. It notes China's agreement to buy 600,000 tonnes of soybeans and its exclusion of soybeans and pork from tariffs, while Chinese pork prices have doubled since July due to swine fever.

- Date: 2019-09-30 · published 2019-09-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/57110-where-next-for-soybeans-high-plains-journal
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Persistent uncertainty over Chinese purchases keeps US soybean demand and export prices under pressure, while China's pork shortage supports soymeal demand over the longer term.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- SOY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2022-02-25 | [What comes next for ag trade, markets after a record year? - High Plains Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14957-what-comes-next-for-ag-trade-markets-after-a-record-year-high-plains-journal.md) | +1.1% | +2.4% |
| SOY | 2020-03-28 | [USSEC works to build preference for US soy beyond China - High Plains Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54190-ussec-works-to-build-preference-for-us-soy-beyond-china-high-plains-journal.md) | -3.1% | -6.0% |
| SOY | 2018-01-23 | [Soybean growers hear reports on NAFTA negotiations and the biodiesel tax credit - High Plains Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66866-soybean-growers-hear-reports-on-nafta-negotiations-and-the-biodiesel-tax-credit.md) | +0.7% | +4.3% |
| SOY | 2025-11-04 | [Soybeans ease after rally; wheat hits three-month high — TradingView News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6944-soybeans-ease-after-rally-wheat-hits-three-month-high-tradingview-news.md) | -0.3% | +0.4% |
| SOY | 2021-03-04 | [ExportPlanning - A record year for US Soybeans - ExportPlanning](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47971-exportplanning-a-record-year-for-us-soybeans-exportplanning.md) | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| SBM | 2020-03-28 | [USSEC works to build preference for US soy beyond China - High Plains Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54190-ussec-works-to-build-preference-for-us-soy-beyond-china-high-plains-journal.md) | -6.2% | -11.7% |
| SBM | 2025-11-06 | [U.S. grains: Soybeans, wheat plummet from highs on limited Chinese demand - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8211-u-s-grains-soybeans-wheat-plummet-from-highs-on-limited-chinese-demand-grainews.md) | -1.2% | -5.1% |
| SBM | 2019-08-26 | [Weekly Grain Movement – Another strong week for soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57555-weekly-grain-movement-another-strong-week-for-soybeans.md) | -0.2% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- hpj.com: https://hpj.com/2019/09/30/where-next-for-soybeans/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.