# Winter crop down but still above last year | Farm Online | ACT

> ABARES still forecasts Australia's national winter crop at 33.9 million tonnes, up 11% year on year but 7% below its June estimate and 16% under the 10-year average. Victoria is set for a sharp rise while Western Australia falls 19% and Mallee and Mid-North areas remain below average.

- Date: 2019-09-10 · published 2019-09-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/57043-winter-crop-down-but-still-above-last-year-farm-online-act
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

The downward revision and below-average national crop tighten Australian grain availability, supporting wheat and feed grain values.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-07-15 | [Global crop estimates down \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58041-global-crop-estimates-down-farm-online-act.md) | -0.5% | -3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2019-02-20 | [ABARES reports the winter crop is the lowest in over a decade  \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60578-abares-reports-the-winter-crop-is-the-lowest-in-over-a-decade-farm-online-act.md) | -3.5% | +0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2017-06-14 | [Winter crop down from record 2016-17, but still set for five-year average - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70447-winter-crop-down-from-record-2016-17-but-still-set-for-five-year-average-grain.md) | +0.6% | +1.3% |
| WHEAT | 2026-05-26 | [Rabo sees winter-crop area down 8pc on year to 23.1Mha - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19236-rabo-sees-winter-crop-area-down-8pc-on-year-to-23-1mha-grain-central.md) | -0.7% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2020-02-18 | [ABARES announces further cuts to wheat crop \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54571-abares-announces-further-cuts-to-wheat-crop-farm-online-act.md) | -0.9% | -0.1% |

## Sources

- farmonline.com.au: https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/6378292/winter-crop-down-but-still-above-last-year/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.