# Late southwest monsoon surge limits kharif season production shortfall | Economy & Policy News - Business Standard

> India's first advance estimate puts 2019 kharif foodgrain output down only 0.8 per cent despite a delayed monsoon, helped by good post-June rain. Rice output is projected down 1.74 per cent, while soybean and urad crops face possible further flood damage.

- Date: 2019-09-23 · published 2019-09-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region India · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/57019-late-southwest-monsoon-surge-limits-kharif-season-production-shortfall-economy
- Commodities: [Rough Rice](https://feedsoft.ai/c/RICE.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller-than-feared kharif shortfall means less Indian demand for imports, but a lower rice estimate and soybean risk are modestly supportive for rice and oilseed-based feed prices.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- RICE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RICE | 2020-01-13 | [Excess monsoon trims kharif rice production by 8%, says NBHC - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55053-excess-monsoon-trims-kharif-rice-production-by-8-says-nbhc-the-hindubusinessline.md) | +3.4% | +4.7% |
| RICE | 2019-09-23 | [Floods force govt to revise kharif output projections to 140 mt - The HinduBusinessLine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57020-floods-force-govt-to-revise-kharif-output-projections-to-140-mt-the.md) | -1.3% | -3.3% |
| RICE | 2025-11-19 | [November 2025 WASDE Report is Relatively Quiet Despite Surprises in Production and Exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21972-november-2025-wasde-report-is-relatively-quiet-despite-surprises-in-production.md) | -1.7% | -9.4% |
| RICE | 2021-07-22 | [India’s grain production to reach new record highs  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46030-india-s-grain-production-to-reach-new-record-highs-world-grain.md) | +2.6% | -0.2% |
| RICE | 2017-10-28 | [U.S. rice production, consumption and… \| PB Commercial](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68537-u-s-rice-production-consumption-and-pb-commercial.md) | -2.3% | +6.5% |
| SOY | 2023-09-07 | [Allendale yield survey shows lower corn, soybean production - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13249-allendale-yield-survey-shows-lower-corn-soybean-production-brownfield-ag-news.md) | -1.8% | -6.4% |
| SOY | 2019-08-08 | [Estimates point to record harvest, pushed by corn production, in 2019 \| News Agency](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57421-estimates-point-to-record-harvest-pushed-by-corn-production-in-2019-news-agency.md) | +1.4% | +0.1% |
| SOY | 2024-03-25 | [USDA boosts soy view on biofuel policy changes \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15227-usda-boosts-soy-view-on-biofuel-policy-changes-latest-market-news.md) | -0.6% | -2.6% |

## Sources

- business-standard.com: https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/late-southwest-monsoon-surge-limits-kharif-season-production-shortfall-119092301320_1.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.