# New study gives hope for predicting long lasting El Niño and La Niña - UT Institute for Geophysics

> A University of Texas Institute for Geophysics study, published in the Journal of Climate, finds that El Niño events can persist into a second year when they start late in summer or fall. Long-running La Niña events are linked to intense preceding El Niños, and the study suggests they could be predicted up to two years ahead.

- Date: 2019-09-04 · published 2019-09-04T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/56991-new-study-gives-hope-for-predicting-long-lasting-el-nino-and-la-nina-ut
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Better forecasts of long-lasting ENSO events could give feed buyers and growers earlier warning of drought in key producing regions. The research does not change current supply or prices on its own.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-07-30 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63936-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-july-climate.md) | +1.3% | -1.6% |
| CORN | 2019-01-17 | [How technology is helping farmers predict and prepare for El Niño \| PreventionWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61023-how-technology-is-helping-farmers-predict-and-prepare-for-el-nino-preventionweb.md) | +0.7% | +2.5% |
| CORN | 2017-12-27 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| December Climate Briefing: New Year, Same La Niña](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67399-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-december-climate.md) | +0.4% | +1.3% |
| CORN | 2021-04-23 | [Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time \| US CLIVAR](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47528-predicting-the-duration-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-events-with-multiyear-lead-time.md) | +10.5% | +8.1% |
| CORN | 2019-09-25 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| September Climate Briefing: El Niño Stalls in Neutral](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56985-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-september-climate.md) | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| SOY | 2018-07-30 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| July Climate Briefing: Models Continue to Predict El Niño in Coming Months](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63936-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-july-climate.md) | +1.8% | -3.3% |
| SOY | 2023-09-01 | [Global El Niño forecasts predict a Very Strong event for 2023/24](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34476-global-el-nino-forecasts-predict-a-very-strong-event-for-2023-24.md) | -0.8% | -6.2% |
| SOY | 2019-01-17 | [How technology is helping farmers predict and prepare for El Niño \| PreventionWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61023-how-technology-is-helping-farmers-predict-and-prepare-for-el-nino-preventionweb.md) | +2.4% | +1.0% |

## Sources

- ig.utexas.edu: https://ig.utexas.edu/news/2019/new-study-gives-hope-for-predicting-long-el-nino-and-la-nina/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.