# WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019) - World | ReliefWeb

> The WMO August 2019 ENSO update says tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures returned to neutral in July after a weak El Niño in 2018-19. It estimates about a 60% chance of neutral conditions for September to November, rising to about 35% for El Niño by December to February.

- Date: 2019-09-02 · published 2019-09-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/56990-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2019-world-reliefweb
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Neutral conditions remove a major source of extreme weather risk for the next few months, so there is little direct price impact on feed grains. The modest chance of El Niño returning is a longer-term consideration for southern hemisphere crops.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2019-05-27 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2019) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59008-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2019-world-reliefweb.md) | +3.4% | +6.5% |
| CORN | 2019-02-26 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (February 2019) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60530-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-february-2019-world-reliefweb.md) | -1.5% | +0.9% |
| CORN | 2026-05-29 | [WMO: El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2026) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18730-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2026-world-reliefweb.md) | -5.3% | -7.3% |
| CORN | 2017-07-07 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, 7 July 2017 - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69875-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-7-july-2017-world-reliefweb.md) | -4.4% | -3.6% |
| CORN | 2019-08-20 | [El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2019)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57495-el-nino-la-nina-update-august-2019.md) | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| SOY | 2019-05-27 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2019) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59008-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2019-world-reliefweb.md) | +5.9% | +9.6% |
| SOY | 2019-02-26 | [WMO El Niño/La Niña Update (February 2019) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60530-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-february-2019-world-reliefweb.md) | -0.9% | -0.6% |
| SOY | 2026-05-29 | [WMO: El Niño/La Niña Update (May 2026) - World \| ReliefWeb](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18730-wmo-el-nino-la-nina-update-may-2026-world-reliefweb.md) | -5.4% | -5.7% |

## Sources

- reliefweb.int: https://reliefweb.int/report/world/wmo-el-ni-ola-ni-update-august-2019

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.