# ENSO NEUTRAL POSITIVE CONDITIONS ARE HOLDING STEADY IN THE DECEMBER-FEBRUARY OUTLOOK

> A late-September outlook note says Niño 3.4 temperatures have stayed near La Niña-like levels, with ENSO-neutral positive conditions expected for December to February. It flags a trend toward a favorable season for central-west Brazil and a warmer Black Sea region, and a possible cold winter in North America.

- Date: 2019-09-27 · published 2019-09-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/56989-enso-neutral-positive-conditions-are-holding-steady-in-the-december-february
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Favorable rain in central-west Brazil would support the coming soybean and corn planting, which can ease export supply concerns. A cold North American winter would add to demand for feed energy, but the signal is still early and uncertain.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-07-10 | [Climate Prediction Center sees 56% chance of ENSO neutral conditions in August-October](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23660-climate-prediction-center-sees-56-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-in-august.md) | -1.0% | -3.0% |
| CORN | 2019-05-09 | [ENSO WILL TOE THE LINE BETWEEN EL NIÑO AND NEUTRAL CONDITIONS DURING JUNE-AUGUST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59009-enso-will-toe-the-line-between-el-nino-and-neutral-conditions-during-june-august.md) | +2.3% | +9.3% |
| CORN | 2025-02-01 | [La Niña conditions present with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely during March-May 2025 (66% chance) \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25964-la-nina-conditions-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-likely-during.md) | +0.6% | -3.9% |
| CORN | 2025-03-13 | [U.S. forecaster sees neutral weather conditions persisting through summer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25497-u-s-forecaster-sees-neutral-weather-conditions-persisting-through-summer.md) | +6.5% | +5.2% |
| CORN | 2025-06-12 | [US CPC sees 82% chance of ENSO neutral conditions through June-August — TradingView News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24118-us-cpc-sees-82-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august.md) | +0.0% | -4.5% |
| SOY | 2025-07-10 | [Climate Prediction Center sees 56% chance of ENSO neutral conditions in August-October](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23660-climate-prediction-center-sees-56-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-in-august.md) | +0.1% | -5.0% |
| SOY | 2025-02-01 | [La Niña conditions present with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely during March-May 2025 (66% chance) \| Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25964-la-nina-conditions-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-likely-during.md) | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| SOY | 2025-06-12 | [US CPC sees 82% chance of ENSO neutral conditions through June-August — TradingView News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24118-us-cpc-sees-82-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august.md) | +2.3% | -4.4% |

## Sources

- linkedin.com: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/enso-neutral-positive-conditions-holding-steady-outlook-isaac-hankes

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.