# IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 September Quick Look

> The IRI September 2019 Quick Look reports that east-central Pacific sea surface temperatures stayed at ENSO-neutral levels during September, with atmospheric indicators also neutral. Model forecasts favor neutral conditions through spring 2020, with slightly higher odds of El Niño than La Niña.

- Date: 2019-09-19 · published 2019-09-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/56983-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-september
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

A neutral ENSO outlook removes the strong weather driver behind major South American or North American crop swings, so it carries little direct price signal for feed grains and oilseeds. Slightly higher El Niño odds are a modest longer-term risk to Australian and Southeast Asian supply.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2024-09-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| September 2024 Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28234-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-september-2024.md) | -0.7% | -2.4% |
| CORN | 2019-11-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 November Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55979-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-november.md) | +0.6% | +2.5% |
| CORN | 2019-12-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 December Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55497-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-december.md) | +0.5% | +0.7% |
| CORN | 2019-03-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 March Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60007-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-march-quick.md) | -0.3% | -3.4% |
| CORN | 2019-10-18 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 October Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56493-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-october-quick.md) | -1.6% | -2.4% |
| SOY | 2024-09-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| September 2024 Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28234-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-september-2024.md) | +3.9% | -3.4% |
| SOY | 2019-12-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 December Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55497-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-december.md) | +1.0% | +0.1% |
| SOY | 2019-11-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 November Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55979-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-november.md) | -2.0% | +2.0% |

## Sources

- iri.columbia.edu: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/2019-september-quick-look/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.