# China's pork shortage could give US farmers a chance to cash in

> China's pork prices have nearly doubled since African swine fever hit its herds, with production in 2019 likely a few million tons short of demand. US farmers could gain export opportunities if US-China trade talks produce an agreement, though Chinese officials want additional US tariffs canceled.

- Date: 2019-10-18 · published 2019-10-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/56566-china-s-pork-shortage-could-give-us-farmers-a-chance-to-cash-in
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Persistent Chinese meat shortfalls create import demand that could boost US agricultural exports, but the benefit depends on trade negotiations, so the price effect is uncertain.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bullish ▲
- CORN: bullish ▲
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-12-16 | [Pork industry wants to cash in on "phase one" U.S.-China trade deal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6400-pork-industry-wants-to-cash-in-on-phase-one-u-s-china-trade-deal.md) | +8.8% | +5.7% |
| HOGS | 2026-05-14 | [Trump asks China to increase imports of US farm, food commodities \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14581-trump-asks-china-to-increase-imports-of-us-farm-food-commodities-s-and-p-global.md) | +4.3% | +2.2% |
| HOGS | 2025-05-23 | [US farmers feel pain as soybean exports to China flatline despite tariff truce \| South China Morning Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14660-us-farmers-feel-pain-as-soybean-exports-to-china-flatline-despite-tariff-truce.md) | +2.2% | +14.1% |
| HOGS | 2017-08-29 | [A Closer Look at China's Pork Imports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69442-a-closer-look-at-china-s-pork-imports.md) | -1.5% | -15.5% |
| HOGS | 2020-04-14 | [China buys more US farm products amid plunge in trade](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53503-china-buys-more-us-farm-products-amid-plunge-in-trade.md) | -5.2% | +41.5% |
| CORN | 2019-07-23 | [U.S. farmers look past trade fears to cash in on China's hog crisis](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58091-u-s-farmers-look-past-trade-fears-to-cash-in-on-china-s-hog-crisis.md) | +0.9% | -10.8% |
| CORN | 2021-10-05 | [China’s buying — and U.S. farms cashing in](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44412-china-s-buying-and-u-s-farms-cashing-in.md) | -1.3% | +7.4% |
| CORN | 2021-03-19 | [China Ramps Up Farm Imports to Plug Shortages, Keep Prices Down - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47967-china-ramps-up-farm-imports-to-plug-shortages-keep-prices-down-caixin-global.md) | +11.4% | +14.1% |

## Sources

- cnbc.com: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/18/chinas-pork-shortage-could-give-us-farmers-a-chance-to-cash-in.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.