# Analysts predicting lowest crop since 06-07 | Farm Online | ACT

> Analysts now expect Australia's national winter crop to be the smallest since 2006-07 because of a strong positive Indian Ocean Dipole and well below-average rainfall. Western Australia faces a drop of about 5 million tonnes in wheat and barley, and a record frost in Esperance has added to concerns.

- Date: 2019-10-11 · published 2019-10-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/56537-analysts-predicting-lowest-crop-since-06-07-farm-online-act
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Expected losses of this size in a major exporter tighten global wheat and barley supply, supporting prices for feed buyers who import these grains.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-15 | [Wheat crop size under pressure \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55532-wheat-crop-size-under-pressure-farm-online-act.md) | +2.0% | +4.8% |
| WHEAT | 2019-10-22 | [Grains analysts cut further winter crop tonnage in race to the bottom \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56531-grains-analysts-cut-further-winter-crop-tonnage-in-race-to-the-bottom-farm.md) | -0.6% | +5.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-12-06 | [Aussie crop the smallest in a decade \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61535-aussie-crop-the-smallest-in-a-decade-farm-online-act.md) | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-18 | [WA wheat crop forecast dives \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56007-wa-wheat-crop-forecast-dives-farm-online-act.md) | +3.8% | +3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2019-11-27 | [Aussie harvest hits full swing \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56009-aussie-harvest-hits-full-swing-farm-online-act.md) | -0.1% | -1.6% |

## Sources

- farmonline.com.au: https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/6433563/analysts-predicting-lowest-crop-since-06-07/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.