# IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society | 2019 October Quick Look

> The IRI October 2019 Quick Look reports that sea surface temperatures in the east-central Pacific stayed at ENSO-neutral levels through September and early October, despite some October warming. Model forecasts favor neutral conditions through winter and spring, with slightly higher odds of El Niño than La Niña.

- Date: 2019-10-18 · published 2019-10-18T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/56493-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-october-quick
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

Neutral ENSO conditions usually mean no strong global weather signal for major grain-producing regions, so this is unlikely to move feed prices on its own.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2018-10-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2018 October Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62470-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2018-october-quick.md) | -2.9% | -6.2% |
| CORN | 2017-10-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2017 October Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68373-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2017-october-quick.md) | +0.4% | -5.5% |
| CORN | 2020-10-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2020 October Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50564-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2020-october-quick.md) | +2.7% | +2.6% |
| CORN | 2021-10-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| October 2021 Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44471-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-october-2021-quick.md) | +0.7% | +10.3% |
| CORN | 2019-03-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2019 March Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60007-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2019-march-quick.md) | -0.3% | -3.4% |
| SOY | 2018-10-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2018 October Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62470-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2018-october-quick.md) | -2.5% | +2.9% |
| SOY | 2017-10-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2017 October Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68373-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2017-october-quick.md) | -0.9% | -0.8% |
| SOY | 2020-10-19 | [IRI – International Research Institute for Climate and Society \| 2020 October Quick Look](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50564-iri-international-research-institute-for-climate-and-society-2020-october-quick.md) | +3.2% | +8.7% |

## Sources

- iri.columbia.edu: https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/2019-october-quick-look/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.