# Trade, hog disruptions mean slowest Brazil soy growth since 2006

> Bloomberg analysts surveyed expect Brazil's soybean planted area to rise only 1.8% in the 2019-2020 season, the slowest expansion in 13 years. Growers cite trade-war uncertainty, African swine fever weakening Asian feed demand, and hot, dry weather delaying fieldwork. Brazil is still expected to surpass the U.S. as the largest soybean producer.

- Date: 2019-10-03 · published 2019-10-03T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Brazil · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/56404-trade-hog-disruptions-mean-slowest-brazil-soy-growth-since-2006
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md), [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md)

## Why it matters

Slower Brazilian soy area growth limits future export supply growth, which is supportive for soybean and meal prices, while weaker Asian hog-driven feed demand is a bearish offset.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲
- USDBRL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-12-08 | [China Set for Record 2025 Soybean Imports on Brazil Buys, U.S. Trade Truce](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21532-china-set-for-record-2025-soybean-imports-on-brazil-buys-u-s-trade-truce.md) | -2.6% | -5.7% |
| SOY | 2026-03-13 | [Tighter checks disrupt Brazilian soybean exports to China \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5795-tighter-checks-disrupt-brazilian-soybean-exports-to-china-reuters.md) | -3.7% | -3.1% |
| SOY | 2021-02-12 | [Brazil's slow soybean harvest widens U.S. export window \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48690-brazil-s-slow-soybean-harvest-widens-u-s-export-window-financial-post.md) | +0.7% | +3.5% |
| SOY | 2019-08-07 | [U.S.-China trade war boosts Brazil local soy prices, spurs deals](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11473-u-s-china-trade-war-boosts-brazil-local-soy-prices-spurs-deals.md) | +2.9% | +1.7% |
| SOY | 2026-03-13 | [Chicago soybean futures hit their highest since mid-2024](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20356-chicago-soybean-futures-hit-their-highest-since-mid-2024.md) | -3.7% | -3.1% |
| SBM | 2026-07-21 | [Global demand for soybean meal drives prices up in Brazil and the U.S.](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18436-global-demand-for-soybean-meal-drives-prices-up-in-brazil-and-the-u-s.md) | -0.7% | -2.6% |
| SBM | 2019-02-28 | [Working to boost soybean meal markets through trade mission to India](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60665-working-to-boost-soybean-meal-markets-through-trade-mission-to-india.md) | -1.0% | -0.2% |
| SBM | 2017-12-29 | [Slower production growth in China to drive increased animal protein imports in 2018 \| Agrifish  \| POST Online Media](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67466-slower-production-growth-in-china-to-drive-increased-animal-protein-imports-in.md) | +2.0% | +8.2% |

## Sources

- ajot.com: https://www.ajot.com/news/trade-hog-disruptions-mean-slowest-brazil-soy-growth-since-2006

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.