# U.S. grains: Wheat climbs on fears of wind damage to US crop - AgCanada

> Chicago wheat futures surged on Monday as wind storms and tornadoes in the US Midwest and Plains raised concerns about crop damage. Traders also cited expected reduced Russian wheat exports and a weaker dollar, with the most active wheat contract settling up 11.5 cents at $5.68.5 a bushel. Soybeans ticked down on lower-than-expected NOPA crush numbers while corn edged higher.

- Date: 2025-03-17 · published 2025-03-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/5620-u-s-grains-wheat-climbs-on-fears-of-wind-damage-to-us-crop-agcanada
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Possible wind damage to US winter wheat and tighter Russian export supply support wheat prices and could draw export demand toward US supplies. A weaker dollar makes US grain cheaper abroad, supporting the broader feed grain complex.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-17 | 1 | +4.4% | 6.1 | Directly describes the 2025-03-17 Chicago wheat surge on wind storm/tornado crop damage fears, reduced Russian exports and a weaker dollar, matching the move's timing and size. |
| KWHEAT | 2025-03-16 | 1 | +5.6% | 3.3 | Wheat surged on Monday 3/17 (the move date) on wind and tornado crop-damage fears, reduced Russian export expectations and a weaker dollar, which directly explain the large one-day gain. |
| CORN | 2025-03-19 | 5 | +8.0% | 3.2 | The March 17 wheat surge on wind and crop-damage fears, a weaker dollar and lower Russian exports pulled corn higher through grain-complex spillover. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-02-17 | [U.S. grains: Wheat climbs to one-week high on frigid U.S. weather - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9252-u-s-grains-wheat-climbs-to-one-week-high-on-frigid-u-s-weather-agcanada.md) | +0.8% | -0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-27 | [U.S. grains: Wheat rises to one-month top on technical buying - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8514-u-s-grains-wheat-rises-to-one-month-top-on-technical-buying-agcanada.md) | +6.0% | +11.0% |
| WHEAT | 2022-01-19 | [U.S. grains: Wheat, corn rally to highest since December - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11816-u-s-grains-wheat-corn-rally-to-highest-since-december-agcanada.md) | +1.9% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2021-07-28 | [Wheat climbs on signs of drought damage in northern U.S. Plains \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46100-wheat-climbs-on-signs-of-drought-damage-in-northern-u-s-plains-financial-post.md) | +2.7% | +3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2018-04-03 | [U.S. grains: Wheat surges as USDA says crop conditions worst since 2002 - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65542-u-s-grains-wheat-surges-as-usda-says-crop-conditions-worst-since-2002-agcanada.md) | +1.0% | +6.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2021-02-17 | [U.S. grains: Wheat climbs to one-week high on frigid U.S. weather - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9252-u-s-grains-wheat-climbs-to-one-week-high-on-frigid-u-s-weather-agcanada.md) | +0.5% | -4.6% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-09-27 | [U.S. grains: Wheat rises to one-month top on technical buying - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8514-u-s-grains-wheat-rises-to-one-month-top-on-technical-buying-agcanada.md) | -2.3% | -4.0% |
| KWHEAT | 2022-01-19 | [U.S. grains: Wheat, corn rally to highest since December - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11816-u-s-grains-wheat-corn-rally-to-highest-since-december-agcanada.md) | +8.0% | +4.3% |

## Sources

- agcanada.com: https://www.agcanada.com/daily/u-s-grains-wheat-climbs-on-fears-of-wind-damage-to-us-crop

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.