# A trade deal with China could end up hurting the U.S. soybean market -Braun

> Analyst Dan Braun argues that a US-China trade pact would only benefit U.S. soybeans if China buys when the market is favorable, while committed volumes could damage the U.S. market. Roughly 60% of U.S. soybean exports went to China before the trade war, and U.S. exports to the rest of the world rose sharply in 2018.

- Date: 2019-11-20 · published 2019-11-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/55913-a-trade-deal-with-china-could-end-up-hurting-the-u-s-soybean-market-braun
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Fixed purchase commitments could pull U.S. soybeans away from competitive world markets and weigh on prices over the longer term, while the rest-of-world outlet has already absorbed much of the lost China volume.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2021-09-24 | [Argentina could grow 70m mt of soybeans with tax cut: ACSOJA - Fastmarkets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44927-argentina-could-grow-70m-mt-of-soybeans-with-tax-cut-acsoja-fastmarkets.md) | -2.2% | -4.7% |
| SOY | 2025-01-27 | [Mind the gap in soybean meal - Walsh Trading](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13885-mind-the-gap-in-soybean-meal-walsh-trading.md) | -1.3% | -2.5% |
| SOY | 2024-03-25 | [EPA RFS waivers may wither US soybean demand \| Latest Market News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15230-epa-rfs-waivers-may-wither-us-soybean-demand-latest-market-news.md) | -0.6% | -2.6% |
| SOY | 2024-08-01 | [Will US court ruling affect demand for soybean oil and meal?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/12100-will-us-court-ruling-affect-demand-for-soybean-oil-and-meal.md) | -0.8% | -6.8% |
| SOY | 2025-11-05 | [China-US Diplomacy Distracts, RVO Shakes Soybean Markets \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22040-china-us-diplomacy-distracts-rvo-shakes-soybean-markets-cz-app.md) | +0.5% | +0.7% |

## Sources

- zawya.com: https://www.zawya.com/en/business/a-trade-deal-with-china-could-end-up-hurting-the-us-soybean-market-braun-etwcmmvz

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.