# African swine fever: China’s chicken farmers feeling the pinch as pork crisis takes toll on poultry industry | South China Morning Post

> Chinese chicken farmers, including former pig farmers who switched after African swine fever wiped out herds, are suffering losses as poultry supply rises. Retail chicken prices are up 24% over six months, but prices farmers receive for birds have fallen sharply.

- Date: 2019-12-25 · published 2019-12-25T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region China · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/55714-african-swine-fever-china-s-chicken-farmers-feeling-the-pinch-as-pork-crisis
- Commodities: [Chicken](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CHICKEN.md), [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Substitution from pork to chicken is lifting poultry demand at retail, but surging farm-gate supply is pressuring live bird prices, a bearish signal for chicken feed demand near term despite strong consumer prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- HOGS: bullish ▲
- CHICKEN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2019-04-27 | [China chicken prices jump on supply shortage as consumers swap poultry for pricey pork \| South China Morning Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59731-china-chicken-prices-jump-on-supply-shortage-as-consumers-swap-poultry-for.md) | -1.3% | -0.1% |
| HOGS | 2019-08-26 | [Poultry Prices and China’s African Swine Fever - EMERGING](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57742-poultry-prices-and-china-s-african-swine-fever-emerging.md) | -0.4% | -9.1% |
| HOGS | 2018-10-24 | [African swine fever hits Chinese pork industry in run-up to New Year \| China \| The Guardian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62433-african-swine-fever-hits-chinese-pork-industry-in-run-up-to-new-year-china-the.md) | +3.1% | -0.5% |
| HOGS | 2019-02-01 | [Year of the Pig: Swine fever threatens China’s pork industry \| CNN](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60498-year-of-the-pig-swine-fever-threatens-china-s-pork-industry-cnn.md) | -1.0% | -2.6% |
| HOGS | 2019-03-29 | [Hog prices rise sharply in the U.S. after new data shows toll of African swine fever on China's herd](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60241-hog-prices-rise-sharply-in-the-u-s-after-new-data-shows-toll-of-african-swine.md) | +3.0% | +12.5% |
| CORN | 2019-09-16 | [China corn industry also hit by African swine fever as demand for pig feed drops \| South China Morning Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57090-china-corn-industry-also-hit-by-african-swine-fever-as-demand-for-pig-feed.md) | +3.4% | +8.3% |
| CORN | 2019-01-23 | [ASF Continues Spread in China and FMD on the Move in South Africa – American Association of Swine Veterinarians](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60978-asf-continues-spread-in-china-and-fmd-on-the-move-in-south-africa-american.md) | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| CORN | 2019-01-01 | [African Swine Fever in China: An Update](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60974-african-swine-fever-in-china-an-update.md) | +1.4% | +1.8% |

## Sources

- scmp.com: https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3043416/african-swine-fever-chinas-chicken-farmers-feeling-pinch-pork

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.